Tuesday, December 19, 2006

All I want for Christmas is a plug-in hybrid

Lately, I've received a number of inquiries about where to buy plug-in hybrids. This doesn't surprise me. I want a plug-in hybrid. Still, the technology isn't fully baked, at least not for mass production. Consequently, you can't venture down to your local auto dealer and buy a plug-in hybrid.

Sure, you can convert a hybrid into a plug-in hybrid, and while I envy those whom have converted current hybrid cars into plug-in hybrids, I'm just a little short of cash at the moment for such a venture.

Nonetheless, what is it about plug-in hybrids that is so appealing even to consumers not interested in current hybrids? Sure, I totally believe in the potential of such technology, but there is no doubt plug-in technology is going to be expensive, at least in the short term. Thus, if plug-in hybrids offered an end to foreign oil dependency and a solution to transportation-caused global warming, but no cost savings to American consumers, would so many consumers still be so excited?

Is the excitement regarding plug-in hybrid vehicles for many consumers focused upon doing the right thing or on saving lots of money at the gas pump?

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Monday, December 18, 2006

For those whom don't buy American autos

Many whom drive hybrid cars or are interested in hybrid cars are often not very interested in American automobiles because of the Big 3's over reliance upon fuel inefficient vehicles. Still, if GM offered a plug-in hybrid vehicle before any other automaker, would you be interested? Would it change your opinion about GM? Would you wait until either Toyota or Honda offered their own plug-in hybrid?

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Friday, December 15, 2006

Germans hoping to take over America with diesel

German automakers are hoping to leave hybrid cars in the dust and convert Americans into clean diesel guzzlers, rather than gasoline guzzlers. "That is the bet European automobile manufacturers are making as they talk the talk of gas-electric hybrid engines to show they care for the environment, but walk the walk down the diesel trail." (more)

Why is that hybrid vehicles are only seen as environment savers? Obviously the environment is a huge reason that many Americans buy hybrids, but just as many buy hybrids because of foreign oil dependency. Clean diesel technology simply isn't going to end foreign oil dependency, however, plug-in hybrid technology could.

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Thursday, December 14, 2006

Is global warming the MAIN reason to oppose ethanol

O.K., global warming isn't the main reason to oppose ethanol, however, global warming is the main reason to oppose ethanol as the solution to both foreign oil dependency and global warming gases. How can we put all our eggs in the alternative fuels basket when the same scientists warning the world about global warming also claim that today's global warming is going to lead to extreme weather, such as mini-ice ages, extreme droughts, massive hurricanes, flooding, etc, etc.? All of these conditions could wipe out the entire grain belt of the U.S. - our energy supply (not to mention our food supply) - for a year, for a decade, for a millennium.

While there is nothing wrong with pursuing alternative fuels, they cannot be pursued at the expense of efficiency.

Today, hybrid cars offer the greatest tool for efficiency. In addition, hybrids can utilize any alternative fuel developed. Most important, however, creating lighter vehicles with plug-in hybrid technology could easily increase fuel efficiency by more than 50%, even as much as 75% if carbon fibers, instead of steel, were used to build automobiles.

In the short term, alternative fuels are a distraction - an excuse - enabling automakers to continue to build more and more inefficient vehicles. 'Yes, it's a 12 mpg Hummer, but it uses flex-fuel' is neither the answer to energy dependence nor to global warming.

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Wednesday, December 13, 2006

NO. Hybrid vehicles are not losing their appeal

Today, Roland Jones of MSNBC asked the question, Are hybrid vehicles losing their appeal?

No, Roland, they are not. Also, Roland, how can you utilize the Honda Accord hybrid to discuss hybrid vehicle economics? First, the Accord hybrid isn't a hot-selling hybrid, it's possibly the worst selling hybrid. Second, it's a performance hybrid, and was not produced purely to achieve fuel efficiency.

Sure, the sales of hybrid cars are down. Automobile sales overall are down and expected to be down into 2007. Yes, hybrids are down more, but that fact has nothing to deal with appeal, Roland. Obviously, the fact that Toyota's hybrid tax credits have been cut in half is a key issue since the Prius is by far the best selling hybrid, as is the drop in gasoline prices.

But there is also a bigger, non-hybrid issue. Why are automobile sales down and expected to be down next year? Are automobiles losing their appeal? Or, do consumers have a little less financial power? If economic times are tight, it isn't surprising fewer consumers can justify paying more for a hybrid when the tax credit has been cut in half and when gas prices are down.

Nonetheless, consumers are very interested in hybrid cars, especially the hybrids of the future. Consumers are not stupid, and they know the best of hybrid vehicles is yet to come. Currently, the public appears to be particularly fascinated with the idea of plug-in hybrid vehicles. So, since consumers have less cash and gas prices are low, many are waiting for next generation hybrid technology.

And no, Roland, diesel is not an alternative. Diesel might compete with hybrids today in some driving conditions, but reliance upon diesel instead of gasoline will NEVER end foreign oil dependency. Next generation hybrid technology, however, certainly has the capability to end foreign oil dependency.

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Tuesday, December 12, 2006

Carlos Ghosn keeps talking about hybrids

Nissan executives keep talking about the profitability of hybrid cars, yet they keep promoting plans to develop hybrids. Recently Carlos Ghosn told reporters at the opening of a new Nissan design studio in the Tokyo suburb of Atsug, "The hybrid as a technology is a promising technology, we have always said it. Nobody can ignore that hybrids can be one potential solution for mass market car sometime in the future." He further stated, "That is a promising technology that we need to work on, and we need to develop, and we need to be ready in case this technology breaks through and becomes a mass-market technology. Which I think it's still not." (more)

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Monday, December 11, 2006

Nissan still going to develop electric and hybrid vehicles

While numerous executives at Nissan have been hybrid skeptical, Nissan is still going to begin a five year green program which will include the production of hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, fuel cell vehicles, and bio-ethanol vehicles. While Nissan remains a bit cautious regarding hybrid cars and their electric motors, the company has also acknowledged that electric motors very well could replace internal combustion engines.

In 2007, Nissan will offer the Altima hybrid in some states, but that hybrid is mainly being built to meet the tougher emissions requirements in some states, and the hybrid Altima is being built from leased Toyota technology.

(AFP)

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Wednesday, December 06, 2006

Automakers turning green? Poppycock

There has been a lot of buzz in the media about how automakers are going green and the Los Angeles Auto Show has been cited as an example. I say poppycock.

Sure GM debuted the Saturn Aura hybrid and the GMC Yukon hybrid in LA, but GM's real green buzz was really generated by GM's plug-in hybrid development announcement - even though the company gave no timeline for an arrival. Is it 3 years, five years, 10 years?

Anyway, at the LA Auto Show, GM put far more effort into marketing their massive lineup of huge Flex-fuel trucks and SUVs - not their hybrids. Saturn hybrids, for crying-out-loud, were practically hidden at the show.

While I would applaud flex-fuel hybrids, or very fuel efficient flex-fuel compact vehicles, I cannot call GM's flex fuel trucks and SUVs a huge green move. Flex-fuel guzzlers are little better than gas-guzzlers. Even worse, flex-fuel guzzlers seem too much like another excuse for GM not to focus on real fuel economy.

Aside from GM, Nissan did debut the Altima hybrid, and Ford displayed the newly designed 2008 Mercury Mariner hybrid and the 2008 Ford Escape hybrid, but Ford's real buzz was generated by the new Mustang more than anything. In reality hybrids were minor drivers for both Ford and Nissan at the LA Show.

Then there was a lot of talk about clean diesel and hydrogen. Blah, blah, blah.

Even Toyota, world leader in hybrid cars, was far more focused on promoting the Toyota Tundra, not its Hybrid Synergy Drive. Still, Toyota hybrids did drive significant buzz in LA and it was obvious many were checking out Toyota's hybrids as potential buyers, not just gawkers.

Ultimately, automakers have realized that Americans are interested in green issues, however, the keyword is interested. Most Americans are still unwilling to help fund the green revolution, and I think automakers are keenly aware of this fact. At this point in time, green marketing is possibly more important than green automobiles.

Americans might be interested in hearing and talking about the green revolution and energy independence, but they are definitely not yet willing to revolt against energy dependence by joining the green revolution.

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Monday, December 04, 2006

Is there an issue more important than energy independence, right now?

Oil dependence aids terrorists, funds dictators and gives millions around the world a reason to point their finger at the imperialist, capitalist and evil American empire. Gas guzzling greed has produced complacency and ignorance that has stunted automotive development by focusing on speed and power rather than than on efficiency and clean technology. This greedy, ego-driven focus - produced by cheap oil dependence - has severely weakened the U.S. auto industry and now threatens the U.S. economy.

And for what? So, that yours is bigger than mine?

American automakers, their unions and representatives in Washington complain about imports and outsourcing, yet turn a blind eye to our extremely dangerous oil imports. How can one import be so good, yet another so bad?

One political party protects the oil industry, the other political party protects the gas-guzzler builders. Yet, our environment and National Security continue to deteriorate as politicians blame each other for a problem each party has contributed in creating.

Now politicians on both sides of the aisle are preparing to make energy independence the core issue for 2008 - at least in terms of political soundbites.

Why are waiting until 2008? I don't care about the next election, right now. I don't care about lame ducks, right now. I care about today, right now.

Right now, Congress could renew tax credits for Toyota hybrid cars. Right now, we could give small business owners the same tax incentives to buy clean vehicle technologies that we currently give small business owners to buy the worst gas-guzzlers.

When America went to the moon, it inspired the development of so many technologies and industries. Right now, striving for energy independence could do the same, while increasing National Security and fighting global warming.

Why isn't America doing more? Shouldn't we be doing everything we can, right now?

--> More on hybrid tax credits, etc.

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Toyota hybrids at the LA Auto Show

Heading to the Los Angeles Auto Show this weekend, I had few expectations regarding Toyota and its hybrid vehicles. Pre-show hybrid buzz focused on the Aura and Yukon hybrids and GM's new green identity. Since, I started out on the GM side of the convention center, I thought the best of the show's hybrid displays were behind me, especially when I walked into the Toyota side of the convention center and saw Toyota Tundras everywhere.

Eventually, though, I did make my way through the Tundras and into Toyota's hybrid section.

The difference between GM's hybrid offerings and Toyota's was absolutely stunning. In fact, there was simply no comparison between Toyota and any other automaker at the show regarding hybrid vehicles. Ironically, Toyota's hybrid section was all business and no show gimmicks. There was a huge information bar where you could sit down, talk to a rep and obtain product literature. Then of course, there were Toyota's three hybrids, the Highlander hybrid, Camry hybrid and the Prius.

As I sat near the Toyota hybrid section I was amazed at the visitors to this area. This was a high traffic area, but it wasn't just people looking at hybrids. Here people were getting into hybrids - sitting in the front, then the back, opening the trunk, touching every gadget that the vehicles had to offer. These visitors looked like buyers.

Wow, I thought, not bad for a company without any new hybrid debuts. Then, however, I noticed the Lexus hybrid section and realized Toyota did debut a hybrid at the show, the Lexus LS600h L hybrid. While Lexus had the GS 450h hybrid the RX 400h hybrid at the show, in addition to a split 450h show gimmick, the LS 600h was the show stopper. Still, the Lexus hybrid section was pure auto show marketing, unlike the Toyota section, and it worked. The buzz around the Lexus hybrids was nothing short of phenomenal.

In terms of hybrid vehicles, Toyota didn't just dominate the LA Auto Show; it was the LA Auto Show.

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Thursday, November 30, 2006

GM: SUVs, Flex-fuel SUVs, Hybrid SUVs, and Plug-In Hybrid SUVs

Is GM too reliant on SUVs when it comes to the American automobile market?

Biodiesel Hummers, Flex-fuel Tahoes, Dual mode hybrid Yukons, and Plug-In Hybrid Vues have been the focus of GM's green marketing efforts. Why are all of these vehicles SUVs?

The top selling hybrid vehicle in the U.S. is a small sedan, the Toyota Prius. Has GM just decided they don't care about this segment? At least in America is GM becoming a truck and SUV only automaker?

While I'm glad that GM loyalists will soon have an option to buy significantly more fuel efficient SUVs, where are the significantly more fuel efficient cars? GM must realize that many Americans are tired of where Detroit's focus on SUVs has taken America - world leader in global warming pollution, world leader in oil consumption, and completely dependent upon foreign oil.

If America simply got rid of all SUVs we'd be in a far better spot, but that's a whole other story. So, let's skip the SUV bashing. A hybrid SUV, especially a plug-in hybrid SUV, is far better than a plain old SUV.

Still, how about some hybrid cars? All these fuel efficient SUV efforts are important for GM's core customers; however, they will not be enough to convert many new customers to GM products.

Isn't it time for GM to take off the SUV blinders, or is it impossible for GM to succeed at anything other than SUVs and trucks?

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GM's hybrid vehicle plans finally confirmed, or just pie-in-the-sky public relations?

Yesterday, after hearing Rick Wagoner describe the future for GM I wrote, "Unfortunately, however, GM's future plans are still pie-in-the-sky. Almost everything is still something GM is working on. When you consider that GM has been working on fuel cells for about two decades, how seriously can you take the automaker?" (more)

For example, GM announced they were working on a Saturn Vue Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle, yet they gave no timeline for when such a vehicle might be available. In fact, Wagoner said such a vehicle would be dependant upon clearing some technological hurdles regarding lithium-ion batteries.

Bob Lutz, product guru for GM, sees lithium-ion technology still about 3 to 4 years away. So, was the LA Auto Show a publicity stunt meant to achieve some positive P.R. while also providing a 3 - 4 year window where nothing has to happen?

Sure, Wagoner did describe plug-in hybrid vehicles as a "top priority" for GM, but he also gave himself a back door by noting the serious technological hurdles of plug-in hybrid technology.

While, GM is also close to finally offering its dual mode hybrid vehicles, it appears that GM is extremely committed to SUVs and is using hybrid technology, including plug-in technology, to provide green credentials for even its largest SUVs.

Consequently, I'm not sure if I'm really any more optimistic about GM than I was before I began to hear the I-car rumors. Nonetheless, I'm willing to give GM the benefit of the doubt - for now.

GM is supposed to go into more detail regarding these new developments at the Detroit Auto Show. There, hopefully, we'll also catch a glimpse of the new I-car.

If the I-car is actually a car and not an SUV, I'll be very impressed and much more hopeful.

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Wednesday, November 29, 2006

GM 'officially' announces hybrid, electric developments

GM has now officially stated its commitment to alternative fuels and alternative technologies.

"I'm announcing today that GM is significantly expanding and accelerating our commitment to the development of electrically driven vehicles, beyond what we have already committed to with our fuel cell and hybrid programs," said Rick Wagoner, GM's chairman and chief executive. (more)

Unfortunately, however, GM's future plans are still pie-in-the-sky. Almost everything is still something GM is working on. When you consider that GM has been working on fuel cells for about two decades, how seriously can you take the automaker?

Still, I'm willing to give GM the benefit of the doubt - for now.

-- For more read -- GM working on Saturn Vue Plug-In Hybrid and GM to announce hybrid vehicle future today

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Monday, November 27, 2006

CAFE or Tax incentives: Best path to increased fuel economy?

Whether you want to fight foreign oil dependency or to help reduce global warming, increasing the fuel economy of automobiles is one of the best paths to achieving both goals.

So, what is the best path towards increasing fuel economy?

Many environmentalists, for example, believe that increasing CAFE to 40 mpg in the next decade is the best path. Yet, critics point out that CAFE has achieved very little since its inception. As a result America continues to increase fuel consumption year after year, critics often point out.

Additionally, the majority of Congress - both Democrats and Republicans - believe that increasing CAFE to 40 mpg would destroy the entire American automobile industry.

While I am an advocate for increasing fuel economy and even increasing CAFE, I do not believe that simply raising CAFE to 40 mpg is a very good solution. Technology must be a key component.

Inevitably, America needs a vibrant auto industry to help keep the economy strong. Surely, inept leadership at the Big 3 deserves much blame for their current weakness and our oil problems, as does every President and Congress in the last 20 years. Nonetheless, however, the past is the past, and it is time to move forward.

I say we can do better than 40 mpg in the next 10 years, far better. Hybrid vehicle technology is proving that we can surpass 40 mpg in the next decade if we use new technologies and start thinking outside of the box, and we should.

By giving citizens the financial power to offset the cost of hybrid technology with tax incentives, there will be plenty of reasons for automakers to start building more and more such hybrid vehicles. Additionally, tax incentives and some auto industry subsidies are a move that will pay for themselves in the long run via less military protection of oil supplies. Furthermore, would you not rather help subsidize American auto-workers to build super fuel efficient vehicles based upon important developing technologies, rather than to pay for their unemployment benefits?

Ultimately, foreign oil dependency and global warming do not have to be a crisis. Instead, let foreign oil dependency and global warming be an opportunity for American automakers to fully embrace advanced technology as the path to high-tech American jobs, a strong American economy, and a clean and secure country.

Ending foreign oil dependency as quickly as possible is one of the most important things the U.S. can accomplish in the next couple of decades. Achieving this goal will take far more than CAFE, it will take open minded consumers and a lot of tax incentives.

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What will Ford's second generation hybrid powertrain offer?

While Ford has scaled back some hybrid vehicle plans, at least in the short term, the company is not ending its hybrid technology investment. In fact, Ford will be displaying its second generation hybrid powertrain at the Los Angeles Auto Show this week. The new powertrain will be displayed in a 2008 Ford Escape hybrid.

Toyota made huge gains in efficiency and power with its second generation hybrid drive compared to its first generation drive. As a result the Toyota Prius sent a notice to every automaker - the hybrids are coming, the hybrids are coming.

Could the second generation Ford hybrid powertrain provide a similar lift to the Escape hybrid or another Ford hybrid?

Perhaps.

Still, the next major revolution in hybrid technology might be dependant upon batteries, and those batteries - almost certainly lithium-ion batteries - might still be 3 to 4 years away from mass production viability. Even then, however, there might still be significant production limitations.

It will be interesting to see how Ford plays this angle. Will the second generation hybrid powertrain be optimized for both the current NiMH batteries and lithium-ion batteries? Is a plug-in option a possibility?

We'll soon find out.

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Sunday, November 26, 2006

Nissan stepping up hybrid plans

Nissan is going to develop its own line of lithium-ion batteries and use those batteries to produce electric cars available for sale in about 3 years. Since this report is coming out of Japan, it is hard to assess which markets Nissan is focused on for these new electric vehicles. In addition, to the electric vehicles, Nissan is also going to step up plans for hybrid vehicles, bio-diesel vehicles and diesel vehicles.

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Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Global Warming and Foreign Oil Dependency: Do you really need any more reasons to go hybrid?

Around ninety percent of Europeans believe that humans are causing global warming.

Do you agree?

If you do, then you realize how important it is that humans start taking much more responsibility for their contribution to global warming. One of the biggest impacts humans can have on global warming, especially in the U.S., is to reduce their automobile fuel consumption.

On the other hand, perhaps you are not yet ready to buy into global warming?

O.K., well what about foreign oil dependency? How do you feel about funding terrorism against the U.S.? How do you feel about putting an important aspect of the American economy into the hands of leaders of countries where the majority of their populations see America as an evil empire?

Regardless of whether you are concerned more about foreign oil dependency, or about global warming, isn't it time for a revolution against oil consumption?

While many are now clamoring for E85 and other forms of ethanol to address this problem, I think E85 is nothing short of a boondoggle, unless flex-fuel vehicles become significantly more fuel efficient.

Flex-fuel hybrids, for example, are an excellent idea.

On the other hand, flex-fuel Hummers aren't such a great idea. If we all drive flex-fuel Hummers or similarly sized gas-guzzlers, then we'll need all the ethanol we can make just to catch up with our increased fuel consumption.

Ethanol can be helpful, but it won't offer help much without significant gains in fuel efficiency.

Current hybrid cars offer nice gains in fuel efficiency today, but the real advantage of hybrids is their potential. In just another generation of technology - available in just a few years - average hybrid vehicles might achieve 100 mpg.

In the Southern half of the U.S. solar powered garages could power - theoretically - all of the fuel needs of these hybrids.

In the Midwest, home grown ethanol could be a good fuel for hybrids, but also for power plants that plug-in hybrids could plug into for clean electric fuel.

Perhaps in other areas, natural gas, hydrogen or even wind power makes me sense. Regardless, hybrids are able to utilize any of these fuels.

Flexible, adaptable and powerful hybrid technology offers a revolutionary tool to fight global warming and foreign oil dependency.

Invest in the future, make your next vehicle a hybrid vehicle.

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Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Overall hybrid sales - about the same as always

AutoWeek has posted a story about which hybrid vehicles are hot and which are not. Ultimately, the figures say about the same thing they save every month. The Toyota Prius accounts for about half of all hybrid sales. The Prius and the Honda Civic hybrid sell well regardless of gas prices, and the Honda Accord hybrid and the Mercury Mariner hybrid are the slowest sellers.

The most interesting thing about the story was a top ten list of why people buy hybrid cars. The list DOES not even include foreign oil dependency. How can that be?

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Monday, November 20, 2006

Detroit must "think anew"

Last week I questioned an editorial by the Detroit News regarding fuel economy because of its complacency, and it's inability to foresee and realize that change must be realized by American automakers. Today, however, Daniel Howes of the Detroit News is singing my tune, telling politicians to give up the blame game while also telling Michigan and the Big 3 that it's time to change.

"The only questions are how and how quickly. Not, why us? Nor who's to blame for tampering with what U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow likes to call "our way of life" -- as if Detroit's automakers, their unions and others are immune to the laws of supply and demand. They aren't, no matter how freely some politicians may be willing to manipulate reality to suggest otherwise."

"Apologies to Sen. Stabenow, but "our way of life" is strangling Michigan because it was never designed to adapt to a changing world, much less accept that the economy and competition would change."

Evolution is often driven by small constant changes. Toyota, for example, is driven by small constant changes focused on increasing efficiency. This process, or Kaizen, led Toyota to hybrid cars - a new platform to increase efficiency. Inevitably the efficiency potential of hybrids has barely been tapped. Moreover, hybrids are adaptable to flex-fuel, hydrogen, gasoline, diesel, biodiesel, or even electricity, and they can lead to advanced batteries and fuel cell development.

Ultimately, hybrids exude change and flexibility. Today's hybrids are gasoline-electric, but tomorrow's might be flex-fuel plug-in hybrids and not long after that they might by hydrogen hybrids, or plug-in fuel cell hybrid vehicles. Hybrid technology is changing rapidly, adapting to the future.

Today, Democrats and the Big 3 appear very close to becoming fixated upon ethanol, a fuel which requires little change for the Big 3. Ultimately, ethanol won't really make the Big 3 any more adaptable, and it just might lead to another decade of complacency. Alternative fuels can help America, but not enough. Only significantly more fuel efficient automobiles can lead to real change.

Detroit must "think anew", and ethanol just isn't new enough.

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Thursday, November 16, 2006

Are Democrats AGAINST the hybrid vehicle revolution?

In a bid to support geothermal power, Harry Reid today accused the Bush Administration of being "so oil-friendly that we have been able to get their attention on virtually nothing that is not oil related," Reid said. "They’re not that interested in renewables."

Hmmm??? While Democrats are looking to bail out the fuel inefficient Big 3, Bush did have the courage to tell Detroit to produce 'relevant' vehicles. Bush has also, on numerous occasions promoted hybrid vehicles and lithium ion battery development. In fact, Bush even went so far as to say that hybrid vehicles were the best way to change consumer behavior.

Is that the definition of "lack of interest"? Maybe, for a politician.

Moreover, Bush asked Congress to extend tax credits for hybrid cars, something which Congress chose not to do. Yet, now that Democrats have taken over Congress I've heard very little about hybrid vehicles and even less about tax credits for hybrid cars.

Instead, the whole Democratic platform now seems fixated on E85.

Even worse Democratic ranking members of Congress have already voiced their disinterest in raising fuel economy standards in the U.S. because they don't want to sacrifice jobs - Democrat supporting UAW jobs - for increased fuel efficiency. Quite a different tune the Democrats are singing now compared to just a couple of years ago when Democrats blamed Republicans for not raising fuel economy standards, even though key Democrats joined Republicans on that vote.

Can we stop playing politics, for at least one year?

I really wish Reid and some other Democrats would quit the partisanship. Didn't America vote for change? Well, let's start changing, please? Let's take the high road, Democrats. Lead by example.

Obviously, the Democratic Party wants to do as much as possible to tarnish the President in an effort to claim the White House. However, if they don't focus on doing something these next two years just to try to win the White House, they might just catapult Republicans back into power.

For years Democrats have done a lot of talking about what should be done, what Republicans didn't do, and they were right, the Republican Party failed the people and America.

Still, now its time for Democrats to stop talking and to start acting. When it comes to foreign oil dependency and national security, even global warming, nothing matters more than fuel efficiency.

Ultimately, the benefits provided by E85 are not going to amount to much if our energy consumption keeps going up. Democrats and the rest of Congress must focus on fuel efficiency. If they are not going to mandate tough standards, then help Detroit develop fuel efficient technologies, particularly hybrids and plug-in hybrids, and give consumers tax incentives to buy these global warming and foreign oil dependency fighters.

Even oil man Bush understood that issue.

Let's hope Democrats and the rest of Congress can finally start helping America instead of just blaming each other for what is wrong with America.

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Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Hybrid sales up 30% in 2007 according to Toyota

Now that the Toyota Camry hybrid is being produced in the U.S., Toyota's ability to produce hybrids has increased. As a result Toyota is predicting a 30 percent increase in the sales of hybrid vehicles in 2007 versus 2006, which would equal more than 300,000 hybrids.

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Tuesday, November 14, 2006

First Chinese produced hybrid vehicle hits autoshow

China's Chery Automobile has announced its plan to present the first Chinese produced hybrid vehicle at the Auto China 2006 Show in Beijing next week. Another Chinese automaker, Geely Automobile, has also announced plans for its first hybrid model.

(Source: Jalopnik)

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Monday, November 13, 2006

Plug-in hybrid technology being tested

Valence Technology has partnered with EnergyCS to produce a plug-in Prius hybrid for the city of Sacramento to test for fleet viability. Likewise, Canada's Manitoba Hydro is also testing plug-in hybrid vehicles and their impact on the electric grid.

While it is great these developments are occurring, it seems plug-in hybrid technology is still a couple of years away from reality, and I hope that fact doesn't stymie hybrid investment.

The technology powering plug-ins, particularly lithium-ion batteries, will rapidly evolve in the next decade. A fleet of plug-in hybrids might not be cost-effective for cities such as Sacramento in the short term. Nonetheless, current hybrid vehicles certainly are cost effective today for Sacramento, and their purchase helps invest in the future of plug-in hybrids, which will definitely be cost effective in the future.

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GM to launch hybrid vehicle marketing campaign

GM is preparing a new marketing campaign to promote its hybrid cars and other clean vehicles. Yet, GM's first full hybrid vehicles - first real hybrids - probably won't be available for sale until late 2007 at the earliest.

It sure is irritating - for me at least - when Bob Lutz states that GM could have already developed hybrids simply by using a fraction of one year's billion dollar marketing budget, then markets their hybrids before they even have any real hybrids on the road.

All you do is talk, talk, talk?

(Source: Car&Driver)

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Ford to focus on fuel efficiency

Ford is set to focus on fuel efficiency.

Yeah, we've heard this before. Ford is going to lead the environmental revolution in the automotive world! One month Ford is going to produce 250,000 hybrids by 2010, the next month they've already given up.

Still, Ford's new CEO, Alan Mulally is worth believing - for now.

In his job at Boeing, Mulally was a follower of the Toyota Production System. Moreover, Mulally believes that higher fuel prices and global oil demand are the most important dynamics facing the automotive field heading into the future. Consequently, Mulally told the Automotive News that "So clearly, designing and building cars that people really like and that are going to be useful for their lives but also continue to improve (fuel) efficiency is what I think is going to be the most important thing."

While it seems obvious that fuel efficiency is becoming significantly more important, the ability to compete and profit as we enter into this new automotive world is easier said, than done. Hopefully, Mulally can find the right path.

Speaking of the right path.

It would be nice if the Big 3 were a little more focused on how to be more fuel efficient when they meet with the President on Tuesday, rather than focusing on health care and trade issues. It's sort of ironic that Ford's CEO is showing up in a Ford Escape hybrid and GM's CEO in a Saturn Vue hybrid, yet both automakers are getting their asses kicked in the hybrid vehicle segment.

It wasn't but just a couple of years ago when GM execs regularly ridiculed hybrids. Perhaps, if the Big 3 had been more focused on automaking the last few decades, rather than on financing and lobbying, they wouldn't be facing such hard times. Neither health care nor trade issues caused the hybrid lag in Detroit - that was pure corporate incompetence.

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Friday, November 10, 2006

Lithium hybrid revolution 3 to 4 years away?

While you can't buy a plug-in hybrid vehicle today from any of the major auto manufacturers, you could buy a Toyota Prius and have that hybrid vehicle converted into a plug-in hybrid vehicle, but why would you do that?

Full hybrid vehicles, such as the Prius or the Ford Escape hybrid, have the ability to run completely on electric power, as well as the ability to generate electric power. In current hybrid technology this typically happens at lower speeds such as in stop-and-go or slow-and-go traffic, and this feature is one of the primary reasons hybrids are so fuel efficient.

Nonetheless, current hybrids have a limited ability to store energy because NiMH batteries in hybrids only have so much capacitiy.

Lithium ion batteries, on the other hand, enable a hybrid to extend this storage capacity, however, simply driving the hybrid probably won't generate enough electricity via regenerative breaking, etc to fill the batteries to full capactity.

Thus, why not plug the hybrid into an outlet and top the batteries off? Doing so with today's plug-in prototypes enables these hybrids to travel up to 40 miles on electric power alone, a distance greater than the average American commute.

This is the potential of lithium ion battery powered hybrid vehicles, and this is what has GM preparing to show off a prototype plug-in hybrid vehicle in early 2007 - probably at the North American International Auto Show. Still, according to GM's Bob Lutz, the real potential of a plug-in hybrid vehicle is still about 3 to 4 years away.

Lutz told The Detroit News that GM estimates it will take three to four years "to convert from 'power' lithium batteries to 'energy storage' lithium cells," which would allow vehicles to travel farther distances.

Imagine the ability to travel 100 miles on electric power alone with technology which will probably be available in just 3 to 4 years. Imagine the effect such vehicles would have on foreign oil dependency. Imagine adding a a few solar panels or a small wind turbine to your garage and powering your plug-in hybrid with completely green electricity.

So why just imagine it? Why not make this a reality?

Buying today's hybrid cars helps invest in this future. Additionally, we must put pressure on Congress to offer more incentives to both automakers and consumers for developing and buying these types of vehicles. In the long run, these investments in the future will more than pay for themselves.

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Hybrid vehicles still offer excellent reliability - Consumer Reports

Hybrid vehicles are very reliable according to Consumer Reports survey research. The Honda Accord hybrid and the Toyota Prius hybrid are the number one and two most reliable family cars, and the Honda Civic hybrid took third place for most reliable small car. The Toyota Highlander hybrid and the Lexus RX400h took the first and fifth spots for most reliable midsized SUVs.

The only hybrid to suffer a bit this year compared to last year was the Ford Escape hybrid, which dropped from above average to just average.

(Source: CNNMoney)

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Thursday, November 09, 2006

Toyota versus GM: Health Care, Hybrids and Kaizen

Now that Democrats have assumed control of Congress, many in GM are hoping for help dealing with health care as part of the solution to their problems. While I agree that GM might need some help dealing with health care, I think GM should also take the President's advice - build more relevant vehicles.

Still, even Japanese automakers are dealing with health care issues when they open up factories in the U.S.. For example, Toyota's health care costs for U.S. employees has doubled in the last five years to more than $11,000 per employee. Unlike GM; however, Toyota is taking action rather than just complaining to the government.

To help deal with health care, Toyota is building a $9 million dollar clinic to serve the employees of one of their factories. Why? Kaizen, or continuous improvement.

"Typically we reduce costs by improving quality," said Ford Brewer, assistant general manager for health and wellness at Toyota's North American manufacturing headquarters. "That's the same thing we're doing here." (more)

Just as with hybrid vehicles, Toyota is always seeking continuous improvement. Hybrids are not only fuel efficient and incredibly clean, but they help develop new technologies. Hybrids don't require one huge jump when the time is right - such as from gasoline vehicles to full fuel cell vehicles - they enable continuous improvement. First a hybrid, then a plug-in hybrid, then a small stack fuel cell plug-in hybrid, then a full fuel cell vehicle - continuous, constant improvement.

It will be very interesting to see if Toyota is able to reduce its health care costs with this approach. Still, Toyota is taking action, rather than just begging for help. Toyota is again thinking outside-of-the-box.

Perhaps if GM sought to solve more of its problems with innovative thinking, rather than always looking to the government, GM's bottomline would be a little more robust.

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GM already toning down its i-Car campaign?

About two weeks ago I made a post about GM's i-Car, a car many believe will be some type of plug-in hybrid vehicle. According to unconfirmed sources at that time, the i-Car campaign would be launched some time before the end of the year as a challenge to Toyota and its hybrid cars. Then, earlier this week, Bob Lutz told the AutomotiveNews that the future was all electric vehicles powered by fuel cells. In the interim, Mr. Lutz claimed a plug-in hybrid would probably be the best solution, and the reality of the i-Car campaign seemed, well, real.

Suddenly, it seemed GM was preparing to completely reinvent itself. Finally, I thought, finally.

Perhaps, I got a little too excited a little too quickly.

While the LA Times is reporting that GM is going to launch an electric vehicle prototype next year, there are already questions about how serious GM actually is about the i-Car program, at least in the short term. Maybe, now that Democrats have control of Congress, GM believes it can rest on E85 and flex-fuel vehicles for several years rather than actually doing something great.

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Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Democrats appear ready to focus on alternative fuels as answer to foreign oil dependency

As I stated earlier today, when it comes to foreign oil dependency, don't expect any real change from Democrats. Rep. John Dingell, whom will become chairmen of House Energy and Commerce Committee in January, has been a strong proponent against increased CAFE standards and he appears to see E85 and alternative fuels as the main solution to foreign oil dependency. (more)

Hopefully, Democrats will extend a few crumbs towards hybrid cars and plug-in hybrid cars, but that might offend the UAW too much, so don't expect any new tax credits for hybrids.

This is the big change America voted for? Excuse me for not being overly excited. When push comes to shove, politicians are just politicians and Democrats aren't really much better than Republicans.

It all comes down to the people. Politicians don't lead revolutions, people do, and voting for Democrats is no revolution.

Some interesting quotes

"In recent years, attempts to increase fuel economy standards have been met with broad bipartisan opposition and we're hopeful that that opposition continues," said Charles Territo, a spokesman for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers.

"Energy policy and fuel economy standards for the past 20 years have been a bipartisan failure," said David Friedman, research director for the Union of Concerned Scientists' Clean Vehicles Program. "The next year will tell us a lot about how serious people are."

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Stop the Madness: Hybrid Vehicles Not E85!!!!!!!

Last year ethanol producers received subsidies and tax incentives worth more than $5 billion dollars, and those subsidies will probably be much higher next year. Yet, even with those subsidies ethanol isn't cost effective unless gas prices are close to $3.00 per gallon.

So, is ethanol worth the price?

Supporters of ethanol claim that all this investment in ethanol for automobiles will eventually lead to better ways of producing ethanol, such as cellulosic ethanol.

I say it will simply lead to more flex-fuel Hummers and little decrease in foreign oil dependency. I say E85 is a feel-good way of accomplishing nothing, something both Democrats and Republicans love - talk, talk, talk, but do nothing.

Without raising the fuel efficiency of America's automobiles - significantly - America's demand for energy will continue to grow exponentially and it will outpace any reduction in foreign oil dependency produced by ethanol.

More important, even GM is now realizing the that the future of automobiles is probably electric. If this is true, then E85 simply becomes a distraction, even a boondoggle to those ends, at least for American automakers and the American economy.

Today, hybrid cars can increase fuel efficiency by 20 to 30 percent, which is a good start. Add advanced gasoline engines or clean diesel engines and fuel efficiency could be doubled - that's with just TODAY's technology.

But the real advantage of hybrids will be lithium batteries, and the ability to utilize electric power. Within 5 years it is quite possible that you could buy a $30,000 hybrid vehicle that might never have to be filled with fuel if you drive less than 40 miles per day, all it would need is a small electric charge at night.

Within 10 years a small fuel cell stack could be added to these plug-in hybrids and the majority of drivers might never need any other fuel than just a little occasional electricity. More important, all of this could happen much quicker if more incentives were provided for hybrid technology and lithium-ion technology.

Why not give those ethanol subsidies to consumers to purchase these vehicles? Ultimately, a change in consumer behavior is the quickest path to foreign oil dependence and a cleaner environment.

Yet, ethanol is the favored buzzword, the favored recipient of tax incentives and government subsidies.

In the past Honda has already claimed it believes electric cars are integral to the future, and Toyota's hybrid efforts make them a player in electric cars as well. Even GM says the future is electric. Consequently, it is imperative that American automakers lead the way into this automotive revolution, rather than sticking to flex-fuel Hummers and Mustangs.

America's focus should be that in 10 years every American vehicle produced is either fuel-free or that fuel is simply a backup. The technology will be there within 10 years. The Japanese will be there. Will America?

Still, I'm all for ethanol, cellulosic ethanol, as a fuel to produce electricity, just not as an automobile fuel. Ultimately, transporting ethanol simply makes no sense in a liquid form, but in an electric form it makes great sense.

Consequently, E85 could become a distraction, even a boondoggle if it takes the clean energy and foreign oil dependency spotlight, and early talk from many Democrats seems headed in that direction.

The future is now. If we don't dare to dream, we just might wake up to a nightmare. New automotive technology, not alternative fuels, should be the priority for America, and the majority of our tax incentives and subsidies should be given to consumers to buy this new technology.

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Tuesday, November 07, 2006

GM set to go hybrid, then all electric?

So, GM is canceling their hydrogen fuel cell program? Well, not exactly, but it appears GM is finally beginning to understand that the world doesn't have to wait for hydrogen fuel cells before getting serious about fuel economy and pollution.

"What started as a fuel cell project is now an electric vehicle project," GM's Bob Lutz told the Automotive News recently.

"A series hybrid could run primarily on electricity from lithium-ion batteries, with an engine as backup to replenish batteries, Lutz says. The backup engine could be a diesel or gasoline internal combustion engine. Backup energy also could come from a fuel cell."

Of course, Toyota has claimed this same idea for a number of years, although their approach is a bit different. Even fuel cell makers have been calling for plug-in hybrid vehicles because they make a smaller, cheaper fuel cell stack much more cost effective to add to a vehicle.

Still, the costs of the batteries, fuel cell stacks, etc for either an all-electric fuel cell vehicle, or a plug-in hybrid fuel cell vehicle, will probably be very high for several years and maybe even a decade or longer. Which is why current hybrid technology is so important.

If not for current hybrids, GM wouldn't even be having this conversation. If not for current hybrids, plug-in hybrids wouldn't even be a buzzword in the auto industry. If not for current hybrids, there wouldn't be enough upside to develop lithium-ion batteries for automobiles.

Today's hybrid vehicles, with today's hybrid technology, are an investment in lithium ion batteries and in fuel cells, in addition to being a way to begin to reduce foreign oil dependency and global warming emissions. With today's hybrid vehicles we can begin changing the world TODAY.

It's about time GM has gotten with the program. Let's just hope this revelation isn't just hot air! America, the world, needs GM to do the right thing now more than ever.

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Hyundai calls hybrid vehicles "market standard" after 2010

"Kim Min-jin, Senior Vice President of Hyundai, said that hybrid cars will become a market standard after 2010 and that financial support from the government is desperately needed for Korean automakers to commercialize their vehicles in time."

Currently, Kim claims that Korean automakers are 10 years behind Japanese automakers in hybrid development, and that without government subsidies, Korean automakers can't compete because of high import costs for hybrid batteries, etc.

By 2010, however, Hyundai believes those high costs will finally start to materialize into profits as increased production reduces costs and increases performance of hybrid batteries, etc. Consequently, just after 2008, Hyundai believes it can "launch a new vehicle that is superior to Japanese cars in both price and performance."

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Monday, November 06, 2006

Toyota's huge hybrid vehicle mistake?

When it comes to hybrid vehicles, Toyota is the undisputed king. The Toyota Prius is by far the world's best selling hybrid, and Toyota offers the largest lineup of hybrids of any automaker.

Still, I think Toyota might have played its hybrid hand a bit better, or maybe there is a kink in Toyota's hybrid vehicle chain?

With low gas prices, sales of pick-up trucks are picking up, and GM and Ford are leading the way. This is one vehicle segment that American automakers understand well, and it is the most important vehicle segment for American automakers.

Consequently, Toyota's recent advertising campaign for its trucks has really surprised me, but not in a good way. Apparently, Toyota trucks are so tough that neither the Loch Ness Monster nor even a meteorite could damage one.

Please! Is Toyota serious? Is this how Toyota is going to challenge Ford and GM trucks?

Toyota, I believe, has to take a completely different approach, and I think a hybrid truck would have been the perfect buzz creator. For instance, imagine how easy it would be to attack the Chevy Silverado hybrid with a Toyota full hybrid truck - the emissions and fuel economy comparisons would be a joke.

Sure, hybrid trucks aren't going to outsell conventional trucks. Still, focusing on Toyota's hybrid trucks could bring a lot of buzz to all Toyota trucks, just as the Prius has driven much positive PR to all Toyota vehicles.

So, why isn't Toyota acting? Instead of a hybrid truck, Toyota has resorted to cheezy commercials?

Is Toyota's hybrid powertrain insufficient for some truck duties, such as towing a boat or camper? Is this a kink in Toyota's hybrid powertrain? Will GM's dual mode hybrid powertrain handle these tasks better?

Many might believe that truck drivers are nothing but a bunch of good ole boys - don't believe in global warming, don't tell them what to drive. While some might fit this profile, I bet a bunch of 'em fully believe in the dangers of foreign oil dependency and would be very open to hybrid trucks.

Toyota could have framed a new debate around hybrid trucks, Americanism and foreign oil dependency. Moreover, I'd bet they could have sold as many hybrid trucks as hybrid Highlanders, and considering the importance of the truck segment, wouldn't a hybrid truck have been worth a try?

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Prius shortage close to over

An increase in Toyota Prius production is finally catching up with Prius demand, which has lessened in the face of falling gas prices and reduced federal tax credits. Still, demand for the best selling hybrid vehicle is still very strong. Eventually such a trend should decrease the value of used Prius hybrids, which often sell for more than new ones. Nonetheless, it will take several months of dropping sales to actually create a surplus of Prius hybrids.

(Source: CNNMoney)

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GM to build hybrids in China by 2008

GM will join Toyota and build hybrid cars in China. While details of the report are sketchy, it appears GM will build the new hybrids with their new two-mode hybrid powertrain starting in 2008. Currently, the two-mode hybrid system is not offered in any GM vehicles and GM has not made clear which hybrid vehicles it will produce in China.

(Source: AFP)

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Sunday, November 05, 2006

European carmakers "firmly" opposed to CO2 emissions law

According to the Association of European Automobile Manufacturers (ACEA), consumers are at fault for automakers failing to meet CO2 emission reductions.

"This is due to a strong customer demand for larger and safer vehicles and disappointing consumer acceptance of extremely fuel-efficient cars."

Great. Now Europeans want to act as foolishly as Americans?

Still, perhaps consumers do want these larger vehicles. Fine, then make them hybrid vehicles, or clean diesel hybrid vehicles, and let consumers cover the costs of meeting CO2 emissions by paying for these technologies. Or, they can simply buy a smaller vehicle.

When you make it easy for consumers to make poor choices, they will. Make them responsible for their poor decisions and they'll make better choices in the future.

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Friday, November 03, 2006

SEMA goes green? Yeah, whatever

"Even as a celebration of American muscle cars took center stage at this year'’s mod-manic Specialty Equipment Market Association (SEMA) show in Las Vegas, an emerging sense of environmental responsibility was also evident."

Case in point #1 - The Eco Jet - "The car, built around a Corvette Z06 aluminum frame, is powered by a 650-hp turbine engine (similar to a helicopter engine) that will rocket the 2,100-pound car off line with 585 pound-feet of torque. The “eco” part of the name comes from the fact that the car will run on biodiesel, a clean-burning fuel derived from renewable resources."

O.K., you're telling me a car that utilizes a helicopter engine is an environmentally responsible car? Am I missing something here? I don't care if the Eco Jet uses biodiesel if it is a monstrous biodiesel-guzzler. Wow!

Case in point #2 - The Chevy Silverado Hybrid - SEMA actually started a new hybrid category which the Silverado hybrid won. "The Silverado did come out of the blue, in that a lot of other hybrids were getting a lot more press,” said SEMA vice president Peter MacGillivray. “Yet the Silverado has more accessories available for it than any other vehicle."

I ripped on the SEMA hybrid prize earlier this week, so I won't rip on the Silverado mild, very mild, hybrid again.

(Source: MSNBC)

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Insurance discount for Ohio hybrid drivers

As of November 1st Farmer's Insurance is offering a 10% discount to drivers of hybrid cars in Ohio.

(Source: AutoblogGreen)

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Civic and Escape hybrid sales up big in October

Sales of the Honda Civic hybrid were up 890% in October compared to October 2005, reaching 2,288 units sold. The Ford Escape hybrid and the Mariner hybrid hit 1,602 units combined, up 30.6% compared to October 2005. The sales of all other hybrid vehicles were down in October 2006 compared to October 2005.

So what is the story? Why are sales of the Toyota Prius, for example, down while the Civic hybrid is up? Or why are sales of the Highlander hybrid down, while sales of the Escape hybrid are up?

Well, I'd bet it all comes down to tax incentives. October was the first month that tax incentives for Toyota hybrids were cut in half.

While Prius sales were down about 12%, Toyota still sold 8,733 of the hybrid vehicles - far more than Honda's Civic hybrid. Nonetheless, it will be interesting to see what happens over the next couple of months. If gas prices begin to again go up, I think Prius sales will be fine despite the lower tax incentive. If gas prices remain stable, this downward trend might continue.

(Source: Green Car Congress)

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Thursday, November 02, 2006

A city Prius and other derivatives coming soon?

In a few years there will probably be more than one type of Prius. While there are no known plans for these derivative Prii, the idea is brewing within Toyota according to Bloomberg News.

``To the extent they can leverage derivatives to help amortize investment costs for the hybrid system, they'd be crazy not to,'' said Eric Noble, president of consulting firm Car Lab in Orange, California. ``There is so much equity in the Prius name at this point, that would make sense, especially in the near term.''

A smaller ``city car'' based on the Prius would have even higher fuel efficiency and would fit with ``a trend toward people moving into inner-city lofts,'' Lentz said. ``People also want to see more utility on the vehicle, so you could imagine something that's a little more utility or crossover-based.''


In related news, Toyota is reporting that sales of the Prius are still strong and should be higher in 2006 compared to 2005.

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Foreign oil dependency makes America stronger!

Do you think foreign oil dependency makes America stronger? In today's world, isn't that a stupid question?

Yet, it seems many Americans either believe that cheap foreign oil is good for America or that it poses little threat to America's National Security. Otherwise, how can the continued purchasing of gas-guzzlers be justified? How can the lack of hybrid vehicles from 2 out of 3 of Detroit's automakers be explained?

I often criticize GM for its lack of leadership in fighting foreign oil dependency. Does my criticism stem from my perpetual hate of anything GM? Absolutely not. It stems from the immense power GM has to take a leadership role in fighting oil dependency coupled with GM's refusal to do so.

Ultimately, I would gladly buy a GM hybrid vehicle - as long as it was a full hybrid vehicle. Unfortunately, GM just doesn't have any full hybrid vehicles available yet.

Why?

Well, just a few years ago important GM executives, such as Bob Lutz, publicly ridiculed hybrid vehicles and those automakers investing in them, which is particularly offensive since billions of taxpayer dollars were given to Detroit to develop similar vehicles back in the 90s.

Sure, GM has been claiming the future will be fuel cell vehicles, but they've been saying this for decades and they might be saying it a few more decades before it is a reality. Still, everything that can be done to fight oil dependency today, needs to be done today.

Quite simply, today, the hybrid vehicle is the best course of action in the war on oil dependency. The hybrid powertrain by itself is already efficient and will become even far more efficient. More important, however, the hybrid powertrain enables the integration of clean diesel, flex-fuel, electricity, hydrogen and fuel cells into the same powertrain.

Today's technology, such as a clean diesel hybrid, could produce vehicles that are 50 percent more efficient than today's vehicles. What are we waiting for? Too expensive? No way! There are enough subsidies already being wasted on big oil and other pork barrel legislation to provide the tax incentives needed for consumers to make clean diesel hybrids cost effective.

But, clean diesel hybrids are just one slice of the potential hybrid pie. In areas where ethanol makes sense, flex-fuel hybrids could be built. Add plug-in technology to both diesel hybrids and flex-fuel hybrids and you might only have to fill up on trips greater than 40 miles.

Imagine only filling your vehicle up a couple of times per year.

In the Southwest, such plug-in hybrids could make solar power far more cost-effective, enabling homeowners the ability to power their homes and their automobiles. Imagine never paying an electricity bill nor to fuel your automobiles. How's that for fighting global warming?

Of course these vehicles could also eventually develop into hydrogen powered hybrid vehicles, or fuel cell hybrid vehicles, but foreign oil dependency could be ended without either of these innovations. We don't have to wait for the holy grail, fuel cells. We just have to start demanding action right now.

To be fair, it's not as if GM is evil and Toyota is a saint. Neither automaker is doing enough. Nonetheless, considering the trends of the last few decades, such as previous oil embargoes, Katrina, global warming, and 9/11 isn't it finally time to say enough is enough?

And I say, it's especially time for GM, the most important automaker in America and one of the most important American companies, not to just act, but to take the lead. GM has the kind of loyal following to buy these war-effort vehicles and the political power to force the government to assist with subsidies and tax incentives for these war-effort vehicles.

Instead of using that billion dollar GM marketing budget to market gas-guzzlers, market the fight against the war on foreign oil dependency and global warming. It's our GM hybrid vehicle, it's our national security.

I don't think there is a company that could do more for America than GM if GM began to look at foreign oil dependency and global warming as a war, a war that GM was leading the battle against at ALL costs - even bankruptcy. That is simply a battle that GM would not and could not lose today.

Bob Lutz has admitted that GM could have taken a FRACTION of their YEARLY marketing budget to develop a hybrid to rival the Toyota Prius. Yet, they willfully continue to chose to spend that money marketing gas-guzzling - even AFTER 9/11. Stop!

Before 9/11 most Americans had their heads buried in the sand regarding the consequences of America's addiction to oil. Sometimes when something is so good, it's just better not to ask questions. After 9/11, however, there is no excuse not to act. Now America needs GM to do the right thing more than ever.

If 9/11, Katrina, Iraq and all the threats about global warming are not enough to get America to realize it is time to change, what will it take? Would the deaths of 10,000 or 100,000 citizens be enough? Do we need a third world war, or the loss of a major city, such as New York? Would that finally be enough?

Then again foreign oil dependency has nothing to do with 9/11, Iraq or global warming, right? Foreign oil dependency makes America stronger!

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Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Prius sales down 8.6% in October

Sales of the Toyota Prius, by far the world's best selling hybrid vehicle, fell 8.6% in October to 8,733 vehicles. Still, considering gas prices have been dropping and tax credits for the Prius have been cut in half, I would call October a strong month for Prius sales.

(Source: CNNMoney)

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Silverado hybrid wins SEMA Award

I had to laugh when I read the press release from SEMA, the Specialty Equipment Market Association, regarding the award the Chevy Silverado Hybrid won at the 2006 show.

"The Chevrolet Silverado Classic Hybrid -- the first full-size production pickup to utilize hybrid technology -- is also the first hybrid to be recognized as the most accessory friendly vehicle at the 2006 SEMA Show in Las Vegas, capturing one of four SEMA Vehicle Design Awards and becoming the benchmark in SEMA's newest design award category." (more)

"First hybrid....", please.

Quite frankly, calling the Silverado a hybrid is offensive to those whom truly support hybrid technology. If the Saturn Vue hybrid is a "a maximally minimal venture in hybrid powertrain technology that would seem less about fuel economy and more about securing coveted hybrid badges on the doors," then the Silverado hybrid is a maximally inept hybrid vehicle.

Sorry GM fans. Until GM offers a full hybrid vehicle, GM is on my #8@* list regarding hybrids. Hopefully, GM will exceed my expectations when they announce plans for the i-Car plug-in hybrid.

For now, however, GM simply doesn't offer any hybrid vehicles in my eyes.

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Gas prices: It doesn't get any better than this?

Just finished watching a panel of energy experts discuss the future of the oil market for the next few years. They concluded that right now is probably as good as it is going to get when it comes to gas prices for the next few years.

A bottom of $50 per barrel of oil was predicted in the short term; however, by next year a barrel of oil will again rise above $60 and will probably settle in the $65 to $70 range. Interestingly, these predictions are based off of status-quo conditions. Consequently, a terrorist attack, hurricane, etc could push prices much higher.

So, don't worry that your investment in a hybrid car isn't going to pay off because gas prices are falling. In a few months gas prices will slowly start to rise back towards $3.00 with the potential of going much higher.

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Tuesday, October 31, 2006

The real problem with Al Gore: Global warming, Japan and hybrid cars

Just as Al Gore is beating the drum on global warming and inciting his treehugging supporters into a frenzy, almost every government in the world is spending less money to fight global warming according to the NYTimes.

For example, U.S. spending into global warming research and development is half what it was just 25 years ago, but it isn't just the U.S.

"Internationally, government energy research trends are little different from those in the United States. Japan is the only economic power that increased research spending in recent decades, with growth focused on efficiency and solar technology, according to the International Energy Agency."

Ironically, many energy experts expect total energy use to increase by some 50 percent in less than 20 years, with most of this increase coming from China and India. If we can't get control of energy consumption now, how are we going to do better in the next 2 decades when issues such as Kyoto don't even include these countries?

This should be cause for serious concern if you believe Gore. If the world is almost past the point of no return, yet energy consumption is still rapidly increasing, isn't Gore's battle already over?

I say Mr. Gore is simply telling the wrong story. Mr. Gore is a politician at heart, rather than an activist, and in the back of his mind, I think, Gore is simply posturing for another run at the Presidency. Global warming, Gore believes, might just be his ticket back to the big white house, and I say he's right, but he's also missing the point and his opportunity.

(Full Story)

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Monday, October 30, 2006

Some Toyota dealers struggling to keep up with Camry hybrid demand

Some Toyota dealers are having a hard time keeping up with demand for the Camry hybrid. Bill Penney Toyota in Huntsville, Alabama recently claimed the Camry hybrid is the most difficult vehicle for him to obtain, "I have sold five of them that I am now trying to obtain," he says.

(Source: Christian Science Monitor)

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Key to hybrid success - put it in every type of vehicle?

A study by ABI research claims that as auto manufacturers "tailor hybrid-electric technology to meet the needs of the target audience," more consumers become interested in hybrid technology.

What? No way! You mean that if an auto manufacturer tries to sell hybrid cars to those consumers that are only interested in trucks, they won't be very successful? Unbelievable.

I couldn't even count the number of times I've been asked, 'When is a full hybrid truck coming out?' If you don't have hybrid trucks, minivans, crossovers, etc. those interested in those segments of vehicles aren't going to buy a hybrid.

Still, even though hybrid vehicles are gaining greater consumer interest and acceptance, ABI is still only predicting a total marketshare of "at least 6%" by 2013.

Consequently, I'll make a bold prediction. As soon as hybrid trucks, minivans, crossovers, etc hit dealerships, the sooner there will be large increases in hybrid marketshare.

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Over $5 billion in 2006 to subsidize ethanol as hybrid tax credits run out

"A recent study conducted by the Swiss-based group called Global Subsidies Initiative revealed the total cost of the tax breaks and subsidies that go into U.S. production of ethanol to be in the whopping range of $5.1 to $6.8 billion for 2006." (more)

While I'd rather use my tax dollars to subsidize American industries, such as ethanol producers, rather than foreign oil companies, I'd rather subsidize hybrid cars and other clean vehicle technologies more than ethanol. Give GM and Ford $5 billion per year to perfect hybrid cars, plug-in hybrid vehicles, fuel cell hybrid vehicles and electric vehicles.

If lighter materials and smarter automobile designs were coupled with next generation batteries, fuel cells and hybrid technology, the U.S. could easily end foreign oil dependency. Sure it would be expensive, but not too expensive if we simply made better use of current tax subsidies - Not by adding new ones.

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Saturday, October 28, 2006

GM's I-car Campaign set to challenge Toyota on hybrid vehicles?

According to unofficial sources cited by the Detroit News, GM is ramping up to challenge Toyota's lead in hybrid vehicles. So, are they serious?

Last year, Toyota sold more than 235,000 hybrid vehicles. GM, on the other hand, has yet to sell one single full hybrid. Sure GM offers a few mild hybrids, but mild hybrids are not going to challenge Toyota's hybrid vehicle sales lead.

Still, GM might have a secret weapon, the I-car.

The I-car isn't just a hybrid vehicle, but a plug-in hybrid vehicle. If Toyota were to develop a cost-competitive plug-in hybrid vehicle before Toyota, I think it could be a game changer. While some hybrid critics have argued that plug-in hybrids are even more of a niche product than current hybrids, poll after poll has demonstrated that Americans are very intrigued by plug-in hybrid technology.

Still, it won't be easy. Toyota hasn't been particularly bullish regarding plug-in hybrids thus far because of costs and battery issues. So, does GM have a secret weapon? Is their past experience with electric vehicles going to finally pay off? Is GM demonstrating even more vision than Toyota regarding the potential of hybrids?

Simply building plug-ins won't be enough, however. If current hybrids are too expensive for most consumers, imagine adding $6000.00 to the price tag. Americans aren't going to buy. Sure, the technology will probably pay for itself over the life of the vehicle, but that isn't the way American consumers think.

Consequently, the success of the I-car program will come down to cost. Can GM convince the Feds to not only offer tax incentives for hybrid technology, but also extra incentives for plug-in technology? Obviously, the government is probably much more interested in adding new incentives that could help an American automaker, unlike the government's lack of interest in helping Toyota hybrid buyers.

Such incentives might make a plug-in hybrid cost-effective, especially an American-made plug-in hybrid. Many Americans want to do something about foreign oil dependency, but many Americans refuse to buy a hybrid from Toyota or Honda. Unlike Toyota and Honda, GM has real power to really rally this customer segment around not only supporting GM and American workers, but fighting foreign oil dependency, pollution and global warming.

Can GM play this hand correctly, or will they just fold amidst a temporary drop in gasoline prices?

Even better than GM going green, are the choices that would open up to American consumers interested in green options. A hybrid battle between GM and Toyota would force every automaker to get very serious about clean technologies, and this competition for green supremacy would make hybrid technology not only better, but cheaper.

Before the end of this year, GM is supposed to announce this new strategy. Let's hope GM isn't just serious, but ready to launch this program as soon as possible. This could change everything for GM, and for America.

Make me a believer, GM, make me a believer!

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Friday, October 27, 2006

Consumers just don't care about fuel efficiency

Consumers care about horsepower and costs, they really don't care about fuel efficiency unless it means saving money, according to a group of automotive experts at today's World Oil Conference. Alternative technologies, such as hybrids or clean diesels, really don't resonate with consumers, unless they save consumers cash - or offer lots of extra horsepower. Doing the right thing, ultimately, means absolutely nothing to most, even after 9/11, Katrina and $3.00 gas. Wow!

(Source: Reuters)

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Saturn Vue hybrid, mild hybrid, debut begins

Buy a Saturn Vue hybrid and you can 'Go green without going broke' according to GM.

I've long been a critic of GM's hybrid efforts and I am not terribly fond of the Vue hybrid, simply because it is a mild hybrid. Ultimately, I just cannot take GM's green efforts seriously until they offer a full hybrid vehicle.

Full hybrid vehicles, unlike mild hybrids, offer the ability to function on electric power alone at low speeds, such as stop-and-go and slow-and-go conditions. Such driving conditions produce the worst fuel economy and result in the most global warming causing emissions. Fortunately, such conditions are also the optimal conditions for full hybrid performance.

Consequently, mild hybrids just don't quite cut the mustard.

Earlier this week LA Times auto critic, Dan Neil, called the Vue hybrid "a maximally minimal venture in hybrid powertrain technology that would seem less about fuel economy and more about securing coveted hybrid badges on the doors."

But his praise of GM's hybrid efforts didn't end there. "As much as I hate to diss any hybrid, this seems a pretty desultory effort." I could go on, but I won't, but you can read it all on Dan's LA Times article.

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Thursday, October 26, 2006

Another reason alternative fuels are not enough? Go hybrid!

"Our whole farming system really contributes a lot to global warming, and it could be made to be much more sustainable," claims Francis Thicke, an organic dairy farmer from Fairfield, Iowa, who has a Ph.D. in soil fertility.

Thick also believes subsidies for farmers to grow corn and soybeans should end because of their global warming contribution. (more)

On the other hand, synergistic technologies, such as lithium batteries, fuel cells, and hybrid vehicles will soon create autos that might need very little fuel, regardless of whether it is oil, ethanol or hydrogen. By the end of the decade, new hybrid technology combined with next generation lithium batteries might easily achieve more than 70 mpg. Plug-in technology could be added to these hybrid vehicles and most urban drivers might rarely, if ever, need any fuel other than a little electricity. Additionally, adding small fuel cells might make such hybrids even more efficient, requiring even less fuel or electricity.

Sure it would be nice to fill these next generation hybrids with ethanol instead of gasoline, but the focus should be on as little fuel as possible. In fact, whether ethanol is every viable in America shouldn't even be a primary concern for Detroit's automakers. Making the most efficient vehicles possible, should be their only concern.

Go hybrid, Detroit, go hybrid.

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Re: Direct Injection Ethanol Boosting

Yesterday, I briefly touched on a story about MIT's direct injection ethanol boosting system. I didn't cover the topic in any depth because I was annoyed by the anti-hybrid spin the article took. Anyway, if you want to check out an interesting discussion about direct injection ethanol boosting, check out Green Car Congress.

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Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Flex-fuel? So what unless it's a flex-fuel hybrid vehicle?

"Injecting small quantities of ethanol into car engines at moments of peak demand -- such as accelerating sharply or climbing a steep hill -- could improve the fuel economy of gasoline engines by 20 percent to 30 percent, a scientist said on Wednesday." (more)

Such technology would probably cost about $1000.00 per vehicle and could be mass produced by 2011. The technology would also enable vehicles to use smaller engines.

Consequently, some are calling the technology a hybrid challenger. Why?

(Full Story)

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Hybrid Interest down 10% in Q3 according to Autobytel

Overall interest in hybrid vehicles was down 10% in the 3rd quarter according to Autobytel. Still, interest in the Toyota Prius and the Camry hybrid remained relatively strong, while interest in the Highlander hybrid surged 32%. On the other hand, interest in the Ford Escape hybrid dropped a whopping 49%.

(Source: Autobytel)

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Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Leo DiCaprio The Rare: Prius driving, commercial flying celeb

Yes, Leo DiCaprio is a true green celeb according to TMZ.com. TMZ posted an article last week about celebs who claim they are green, but guzzle gas. TMZ points out that Julia Roberts, Jennifer Lopez, George Clooney and Brad Pitt all pretend to be green because they drive clean vehicles, such as hybrid cars like the Toyota Prius, but these same stars fly all over the world in private jets that consume more fuel in one trip than most Americans ever consume driving. On the other hand, Leo DiCaprio flies commercial unless impossible. Apparently Leo just isn't quite as cool as these other stars.

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Are Detroit automakers, "rigid" and "old-school"?

Thinking outside-of-the-box is, in my opinion, one of Detroit's biggest problems. Or, let me rephrase that sentence. Detroit's inability to think outside-of-the-box is Detroit's biggest problem, which is why America is last in the hybrid car game.

An article in the Automotive News sheds light on the problem. "...talented women have been leaving Ford, General Motors and the Chrysler group in numbers too large to ignore. Most have left for better opportunities outside the industry after years of frustration in rigid, old-school work cultures and lack of advancement," states Anne Doyle, president of Anne Doyle Strategies, whom was also once communications director for Ford North American Division.

Hmmm???? "Rigid, old-school work cultures." I'd say that about sums up Detroit's problems.

Big trucks and SUVs cannot forever drive Detroit's profits. Sadly, this should have been realized decades ago, not just to protect the environment, but America itself. Reliance upon foreign oil endangers not just tens of thousands of American jobs, but America's national security. This should have been clear after the problems with Iran in the 70's and 80's. It should have been crystal clear after 9/11.

While Detroit might see hybrid vehicles as an interim technology to fuel cell vehicles, hybrids are interim technology that is desperately needed right now. America can't wait another decade or two to start getting serious about oil dependence. Unfortunately, the attitude in Detroit continues to seem, "rigid" and "old-school", and that is very sad.

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The Scuderi Air Hybrid Vehicle

The Scuderi Group is set to show off its air hybrid vehicle at the SAE Commercial Vehicle Engineering Congress and Exhibition Oct. 31- Nov. 2.

"The innovations in the design of the Scuderi engine reduces the cost of diesel systems by eliminating or dramatically reducing three of the most expensive and complex parts of a diesel system - turbo charging, injectors and exhaust treatment," said Sal Scuderi, president of The Scuderi Group. "Because of the inherent design advantages of the Scuderi Air-Hybrid diesel engine, we estimate that this engine can lower the cost of diesel engines by as much as 40-50 percent. We strongly believe that the Scuderi Air-Hybrid engine is the diesel engine design of the future."

The Scuderi group also believes that Air diesel hybrids are more effective than electric hybrids because of the complex technology required by electric hybrid cars. I say, perhaps in the short term, but not in the long term. Whether gasoline or diesel, the world needs to get off oil. The air hybrid is nowhere near accomplishing that goal.

(Source: Business Wire)

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A brake for hybrid vehicles

Last week I read a press release regarding the by-wire braking system that Siemens plans to put into production before the end of this decade, and I wondered how such a system would work with the regenerative braking systems of hybrid vehicles.

Now Siemens isn't really developing the by-wire braking system for hybrids, but for all automobiles. In fact, Siemens has far bigger plans than revolutionary brakes. Siemens is thinking revolutionary drive trains - the drive-by-wire system.

(Full Story)

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Monday, October 23, 2006

Saturn Aura Mild Hybrid Coming Soon - Anyone Care?

GM is starting production on the Saturn Aura Green Line this week, which is supposed to be around 10% more efficient than a standard Aura. Until GM offers a full hybrid to consumers, however, I just can't get very excited about a GM mild hybrid.

(Source: AutoblogGreen)

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Do you want to be in a Toyota hybrid commercial

Are you so proud of your Toyota hybrid vehicle that you want to tell the world about it? If you own a Prius, Highlander hybrid or Camry hybrid then you can apply to be in one of Toyota's next hybrid commercials.

"We want to know who you are and what your reasons are for owning a hybrid vehicle. Participants will not only get the chance to be part of an important national campaign that supports a good cause but may also receive financial compensation for participation! You must own or have a Toyota hybrid vehicle in your immediate family to apply."

HOW TO APPLY:

Send an email to telluswhy@nvbb.net including:

Your name
Age
City/state of residence
A photo of yourself and anyone in your household who uses the car (ideally posed in front of your Toyota hybrid)
Your reason for purchasing a Toyota hybrid vehicle

Deadline:All applications must received no later than OCTOBER 30TH, 2006

For further questions please contact: epoteet@nvbb.net

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Forget plug-in hybrid vehicles - For Now

Never put off until tomorrow what you can do today. That's the sentiment that plug-in hybrid vehicles are beginning to cause me.

Over the weekend, as I was catching up on some news I read two hybrid stories. The first by Green Car Congress discussed Hymotion, a hybrid to plug-in hybrid conversion company, and their plans to add solar panels to their conversion process. Now this is an idea I completely support and I totally support Hymotion.

So, why am I beginning to have plug-in angst? (Full Story)

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Thursday, October 19, 2006

Most Americans concerned about foreign oil dependency, but...

According to a new survey most Americans are concerned about foreign oil dependency, and 87% believe the government can do something about the problem. Even more interesting, 41% believe it is "realistic to expect the government to maintain a steady supply of oil at a reasonable price."

Geez. Is there really any wonder that America is so dependent upon foreign oil? Talk about taking NO responsibility!!

What exactly do Americans want the government to do? The only thing that is going to reduce foreign oil dependency is using less oil. Sure, the government could ban SUVs, raise fuel economy requirements and offer tax incentives for hybrid cars and other clean technologies and fuels.

Inevitably; however, American citizens have to take some responsibility.

We're the ones driving gas-guzzlers. We're the ones who drive a block to the store to pick up a gallon of milk. We're the ones demanding bigger, heavier and faster vehicles - all of which decrease fuel efficiency. We're the ones driving Hummers with bumper stickers that say 'No blood, for oil'.

Sure the government can do more, it can force Americans to stop acting so irresponsibly.

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Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Do gas price fluctuations threaten hybrid future?

"The problem for the whole hybrid vehicle sector is America's evident short-lived concern over higher fuel prices. Even though there is plenty of concern among energy analysts that fuel costs could head north again before the year is out, vehicle buyers only seem to take notice of the latest prices displayed at gas stations."

"The public's short term, blinkered view of gas prices is already taking a toll on hybrids. Their sales fell last month by 11 percent compared to August. In the same period total vehicle sales slipped by just 1.9 percent, while truck sales were up by 5.4 percent." (more)

It is no big surprise that the sales of hybrid cars are dropping. Still, I doubt very much that Toyota expected sales of the Prius to ever reach the levels that they did. Ultimately, I don't think that Toyota expected the surge in gas prices that America just witnessed.

Nonetheless, when Toyota did launch the Prius hybrid car, gas prices were not that high. Toyota's hybrid vehicle development was not driven by the current energy market, but the future energy market. As I wrote earlier today, in 2008 we could see the highest gas prices we've ever seen.

In the end, gas price fluctuations might threaten the future of American-made hybrid vehicles, but I doubt very seriously that it will threaten the future of Toyota hybrid vehicles. Unlike the short term view of the average American, American auto companies MUST take a long term view, and almost every indicator is signaling much higher gasoline prices in the future.

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2008: When your hybrid vehicle will really pay off?

Gas prices are dropping. I don't really need to tell you that. Already, after just a couple of months, interest in fuel efficiency is also dropping.

So, are cheap gas prices here to stay?

Probably not according to most energy analysts, and unlike past valleys and peaks in gasoline prices, the distance between each valley and peak is likely to shrink as we trend upwards.

According to some, the next big threat to American gasoline prices is Russia. If you haven't noticed the influence of Russian oil, you soon will as Russian gas stations open in your neighborhood. That's why 2008 could create the highest gas prices we've ever seen.

"And it's my memory of how traumatic those transfers of power used to be that leads me to pick 2008 for a Russian oil supply shock. That year will be filled with uncertainty and rumor, as the question of who will run the country rises to the top of the agenda for overseas investors and purchasers of Russia's oil. Even if, as I think is almost certain, power remains with Putin or someone in his circle, the uncertainty will be enough, with oil supply and demand in such precarious balance, to give the oil speculators plenty to work with." (more)

The recent rise in gas prices was driven by speculation, not George Bush. Americans must get this through their heads. Electing a Democrat as President isn't going to change foreign oil market speculation.

Imagine continued and escalated problems with Iran, Chinese oil grabs, hurricanes and turmoil in Russia all happening at the same time - the perfect storm. Oil could easily surge beyond $100 per barrel. Even worse, imagine war in the Middle East. In such an event, $100 oil would seem cheap.

The dynamics driving oil speculation aren't really improving. Sure they are now calm, but new storms are building. When those storms hit land, hybrid vehicles will really pay off.

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Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Prius and Civic hybrid most fuel efficient vehicles for 2007 according to government

The government has released its Top Ten Most Fuel Efficient Vehicles for 2007. According to the government's report, the Toyota Prius hybrid is the most fuel efficient vehicle for 2007, followed by the Honda Civic hybrid. The Toyota Camry hybrid was third.

A total of four hybrid vehicles were in the Top Ten. The two-wheel drive Ford Escape hybrid was the most fuel efficient SUV.

(EPA)

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Monday, October 16, 2006

It's our country, the Silverado hybrid vehicle!

Have you seen the new "Our country, our truck" GM Chevy ads? Images of Katrina, Vietnam and 9/11 selling the new 30 mpg Chevy Silverado hybrid, reinforcing the message that GM has finally gotten serious about foreign oil dependency. While GM has been a laggard on hybrid vehicles, the new Silverado hybrids demonstrates GM's new commitment to America's National Security.

At least, that is what the ad should have been about. Instead, GM is using images of 9/11 - an act largely produced by America's foreign oil dependency - to promote a gas guzzler and the apparent pride of foreign oil dependency.

--) Complete Story

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Friday, October 13, 2006

Flex-fuel lies, foreign oil dependency and hybrid vehicle tax credits: Rate Congress

"A public advocacy group on Thursday said Ford Motor Co. has avoided as much as $135 million in fines by marketing vehicles that are supposed to run on the gas-ethanol mix E85 that don't work and accused the company of running misleading ads." (more)

Moreover, aside from the obvious, the fact is that for years the majority of flex-fuel vehicles sold by both Ford and GM have not ever filled up with E-85. Yet, each company has avoided millions and and millions in fines by selling these vehicles.

"Public Citizen and other environmental advocacy groups have long complained that automakers get credits to meet federal fuel economy regulations by building flexible-fuel vehicles that are hardly ever filled with E85, since it's available at just 900 of the country's 170,000 pumps."

So, Congress gives small business owners huge tax incentives to buy the worst gas-guzzlers, provides huge tax incentives to oil companies, enables the big three to avoid 100's of millions of dollars in fines for violating fuel economy regulations - increasing our foreign oil dependency, and limits tax credits for Toyota hybrid vehicles because they are too successful.

That sure sounds like the right path towards achieving energy independence.

Even the President says hybrids are possibly the most important way to change consumer behavior. Yet, Congress hasn't passed proposed legislation to provide small business tax incentives for buying hybrid cars or other fuel efficient vehicles, nor has Congress passed proposed legislation to extend hybrid vehicle tax credits.

Good work, ladies and gentlemen!

We live in a country that blames the President for quite a lot these days. Fair enough. Let's extend at least as much blame to the current - do nothing, partisanship is more important - Congress.

Flex fuel lies, foreign oil dependency and hybrid vehicle tax credits - Congress is failing America.

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Thursday, October 12, 2006

Bush believes hybrid cars one of the best paths to foreign oil independence

"I believe so strongly that this country has got to use its talent and its wealth to get us off oil," Bush said. "Probably the fastest way we can begin to change the consumer habits -- is to promote hybrid vehicles."

President Bush made that statement earlier today in response to falling gas prices.

"My worry is, however, that a low price of gasoline will ... make us complacent about our future when it comes to energy," Bush said at a government-sponsored renewable energy conference in St. Louis.

I couldn't agree more. Already one new study has demonstrated that consumer interest is dropping significantly as gas prices are dropping, while interest in gas-guzzlers is rebounding.

Bush, who has asked Congress to extend the tax credit for hybrids earlier this year, again brought up tax credits today. Unfortunately, Congress has not addressed this issue. Perhaps, hopefully, once the elections are over an extension will be enacted. Otherwise, with dropping gas prices and smaller tax credits for Toyota hybrids, interest in hybrid vehicles could drop significantly.

(Source: Reuters via Yahoo)

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Toyota Camry hybrid video on SquawkBox

The Toyota Camry hybrid is now being produced in Georgetown, KY as of today. Consequently, this morning SquawkBox ran a feature about hybrid cars going mainstream focusing on the Camry hybrid. And what's not to like? 0-60 in less than 9 seconds with 187 hp while achieving a combined City/Highway 39 mpg. Not too bad for $26,000.

View the video.

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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Are you red, white and green?

Do you want to change America's energy paradigm? Do you believe in energy conservation? Do you want to end foreign oil dependency? Do you want to raise fuel economy standards? Do you want fight global warming? Do you want to buy a hybrid car or other fuel efficient vehicle?

You are not alone. It is estimated that 45.3 million Americans would answer yes to most of the questions above and they are not all tree-hugging hippies. In fact the majority of the Red, White and Greens are non-partisan moderates, but there are also significant numbers of liberals and conservatives - these issues are more important than party politics.

Civil Society Institute President and Founder Pam Solo said: "Red, white and green is the new patriotism for this complex era in which energy, the environment and national security are all bound up together. What we see here are a new set of values that equate love of country with energy independence and protecting the environment from global warming. These survey findings show that there is a huge group of Americans who are very clear about their strong embrace of environmental values and the elected officials who reflect those values. The existence of red, white and green voters could have huge implications for the 2006 and 2008 elections." (more)

Let's get some more red, white and green representatives in political office!

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Lower gas prices reducing consumer interest in Prius?

According to Cars.com there has been less consumer interest in the Toyota Prius hybrid since gas prices started dropping. According to Cars.com consumer searches for the Prius have dropped by 37.8%. Cars.com claims this is part of a general drop in consumer interest for fuel efficient vehicles, whereas interest in gas guzzlers has increased.

I've long claimed that consumer interest in hybrid cars would be affected by gas prices. Still, gas prices, almost assuredly, will go back up and so too will interest in hybrids. Still, part of this drop in fuel efficient interest, especially for the Prius, might also have had something to do with reduced tax credits for Toyota hybrid vehicles.

Nonetheless, let's face it, the problems associated with foreign oil dependency, and oil dependence in general, aren't ever going away. Those whom choose to ignore this fact will pay the consequences. Hybrids might not make perfect sense today for everyone, but they will in a few years.

Plus, maybe a downturn in interest will create a buyers market for those interested in the Prius, especially a used Prius.

(Source: Car & Driver)

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A giant bug for the hydrogen economy?

I used to believe absolutely in the hydrogen economy. I wanted it to happen as fast as possible. As a result I've read a lot regarding fuel cells, hydrogen storage, etc. Suddenly, I began to realize that the hydrogen economy probably wasn't going to come as quickly as I'd hoped.

More distressing, I read statements by some scientists whom claimed that the vapor exhaust from billions of fuel cell vehicles might have unintended, negative consequences. Not long ago, for example, CO2 emissions were deemed just as harmless.

Still, it seems hard to believe that H20 vapor emitted from fuel cell vehicles could cause any problems, right?

Well, according to a new study, if the percentage of oxygen in our atmosphere increased, so to might the size of many bugs, such as hawk-sized dragon-flies. What if this also means hawk-sized locusts, or parrot-sized mosquitoes? How would that affect crops and disease?

Perhaps there are many other downsides to increasing hydrogen and oxygen emissions into our atmosphere.

Maybe this time around we shouldn't allow huge corporations and their cronies in Washington to bet the farm on hydrogen as they once bet the farm on petroleum. The welfare of the people, not just corporate profit, has to be a major consideration.

Maybe a solar hybrid fuel cell vehicle is a better goal than a hydrogen powered fuel cell vehicle.

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Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Escape hybrid recall

About 6,000 Ford Escape hybrids will be recalled to fix a faulty drivetrain shaft. The problem will be replaced by Ford if needed. No reports of injuries or accidents caused by the problem.

(Source: LATimes)

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Monday, October 09, 2006

Have you seen Ford's Reflex hybrid vehicle ad?

Ford is promoting the Reflex diesel hybrid vehicle with Internet ads. Too bad they aren't producing this hot looking hybrid.I was on the DrudgeReport this morning when an ad for the Ford Reflex diesel hybrid flashed across the top of the page. I thought, wow, Ford is really serious about this awesome looking hybrid vehicle. So, I clicked through the ad. Not much there. I guess this is just part of Ford's 'Bold Moves' hoohaa. I was hoping to find out that this hybrid was going into production, but no such luck. While I realize the hybrid cars segment probably isn't yet ready for a diesel hybrid sports car because of costs, it would have been an incredibly bold move by Ford to commit to a small production nonetheless. Maybe if there is enough online buzz they will?

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Mitsubishi to offer hybrid for American market?

Mitsubishi plans to sell a small electric car in America, possibly based off of the Concept-CT Miev or the next generation Colt. Though no official timeline has been provided, it probably won't be offered until around 2010. Moreover, since the vehicle will utilize lithium-ion batteries, production would be limited as supplies of such batteries are extremely low. Mitsubishi also added that it might offer a hybrid version of the vehicle as well, similar to the hybrid Mitsubishi showcased at the Detroit Auto Show.

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Friday, October 06, 2006

An interesting week for hybrid cars

It was an interesting week for hybrid cars. It started with Peugeot's C-Matisse diesel hybrid vehicle. While only a concept vehicle, this hybrid demonstrates that Peugeot is preparing for the hybrid revolution. By 2010, when I predict the hybrid revolution will really getting rolling, Peugeot will be ready.

Then there was an Intellichoice award for the Mariner hybrid, the debut of the 2008 Mariner hybrid, and the debut of the 2007 Nissan Altima hybrid. Plus a number of other hybrid stories which you can review by scrolling down on this blog.

Still, my favorite piece of hybrid news this week was the Astrolab solar hybrid vehicle. This is going to be a production vehicle, not a concept car. While solar hybrids are a long way away from the mainstream, this vehicle demonstrates that the potential of hybrid technology is only just emerging. Shucks, throw in a small fuel cell and the 'hydrogen highway' might not even be needed.

Today's hybrid cars are just the beginning.

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Mazda Tribute hybrid built on new hybrid technology?

"According to Nikkei Business, Mazda will be developing their own hybrid; and this perhaps without the aid of FoMoCo. It sounds like Mazda is preparing to distance themselves from troubled Ford."

So, does this mean the Mazda Tribute hybrid will not be released as planned? Originally, the hybrid Tribute was to built upon the Ford Escape hybrid platform. At one time Ford almost squashed the Tribute hybrid project, but later re-confirmed their plans to build the hybrid. So, I guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens.

(Source: Straightline)

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Mariner hybrid wins inaugural Intellichoice Award

This week the Mariner hybrid won the first Motorist’s Choice Award for compact SUVs by IntelliChoice.com and AutoPacific.

“The Motorist’s Choice Award is a testament to the Mercury Mariner Hybrid’s distinctive design, SUV versatility and the hybrid technology,” says Mike Richards, general marketing manager, Lincoln Mercury. “The Mariner Hybrid offers customers an unmatched combination of economic value, environmental benefit, and emotional appeal.”

(Source: Ford Blog)

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2008 Mercury Mariner hybrid to debut today

Ford will debut the 2008 Mercury Mariner hybrid today at the South Florida International Auto Show according to the Detroit News. Available in early March, the new hybrid Mariner will offer a redesigned interior and exterior, front wheel or four-wheel drive, and upgraded software for its hybrid powertrain which is said to improve performance.

Additionally, "Outside, there are major changes to the front and rear fascias, liftgate, lamps, grille and hood. Ford raised the beltline and removed the previous model's molding and body cladding to give the vehicle a cleaner and more substantial appearance."

"Inside, satin pewter finishes and chrome accents combine with two-tone dash materials to create a more stylish look, while ice blue instrument lighting has been added to give the vehicle a more techno feel at night. The Mariner's utilitarian center console controls have been replaced with a more modern set that gives it a more architectural look, and cabin noise has been reduced."

(Full Detroit News Story)

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Thursday, October 05, 2006

Is it un-American to buy an American-made gas guzzler

I scan a lot of blogs, and there are many in the U.S. that believe it is un-American to buy anything but an American made automobile. Somehow driving a gas-guzzler that requires oil from foreign governments that fund - directly or indirectly - terrorism against the U.S. isn't a problem. Considering that the U.S. economy is now terribly dependent upon cheap oil, that a huge military presence exists to protect America's oil interests which costs billions and billions of taxpayer dollars, and that gas guzzling funds terrorism against the U.S., isn't it un-American to buy a gas guzzler, even if it is American made? I'll take a Japanese hybrid car over an American-made gas-guzzler any day.

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Clean diesel versus hybrid technology: A stupid debate

The Axis of Diesel states, "Mercedes, GM and even Honda, are betting on a new breed of green diesels. The goal? To leave hybrids in the dust."

First, let's be clear. There is no comparison between clean diesel vehicles and hybrid cars. PERIOD. It's no different than comparing apples to oranges.

Second, hybrid vehicles can also use clean diesel technology. So, however efficient a clean diesel is, a clean diesel hybrid will be 20 to 30 percent more efficient. Hybrid technology is not dependent upon fuel, which is why Ford is working on the Reflex diesel hybrid and Peugeot on the C-Matisse diesel hybrid.

Yes, even European automakers are buying into hybrid technology.

----> Finish Reading Clean Diesel Vehicles Versus Hybrid Vehicles: A stupid debate

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Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Eaton showcasing hydraulic hybrids

The Eaton Corporation is hosting Fluid Power Technology Days to demonstrate its hydraulic hybrid propulsion system. "The UPS delivery truck on display features the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)'s patented series hybrid hydraulic powertrain technology. The truck achieves 50-70 percent better fuel efficiency in urban driving and lowers greenhouse gas emissions by roughly 40 percent compared to a conventional UPS diesel-powered delivery truck, according to EPA estimates. The EPA is also estimates that a typical fleet owner operating one of these high-efficiency hydraulic powertrains would save up to 1,000 gallons of fuel each year per truck. The vehicle was developed through a partnership between EPA, Eaton, UPS, International Truck and Engine Corporation and the U.S. Army." (Full Press Release)

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Altima hybrid to debut at O.C. Auto Show

The Nissan Altima hybrid will debut at the Orange County Auto Show and will become available for sale in early 2007.The new Nissan Altima hybrid, the first hybrid from Nissan, will make its debut at the Orange County Auto Show in Anaheim, CA. The Altima hybrid will be available for sale in early 2007. (Press Release)

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Toyota hybrid technology 50% cheaper in 3 years

Toyota and Honda are in a fight not just to make their hybrid technology cheaper, but lighter. Toyota, for example, plans to reduce the weight of its hybrid powertrain by 50% in the next 3 years. Additionally, Toyota hybrid technology adds on average $4000.00 to the cost of a vehicle, within 3 years Toyota plans to reduce this price to $1900.00 according to AutoBlog.

One would assume that 50% lighter hybrid vehicles would also result in more fuel efficient vehicles, just in weight reduction alone. When better batteries and software are added to this equation, the outcome is fantastic. In 3 years Toyota and Honda hybrids will be more fuel efficient and significantly cheaper. Now that's the kind of math I like.

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Hybrid Vehicles: A California Fad?

The article Red Hot in AutoWeek states, "Hybrids are still hot stuff - registrations rose 34.8 percent in the first seven months of the year to 144,377 units, according to R.L. Polk & Co. But most of the heat is generated in the Golden State."

A number of reasons are cited to explain California's interest in hybrids, such as traffic, pollution and car pool lane access. In summary, it is noted that California often leads trends that eventually reach the rest of the country; however, some of those trends burn out as fads.

So, what about hybrid vehicles - fad or trend?

I guess if high gas prices are just a fad and concern about foreign oil dependency is just a fad, as well as if concern about global warming is just a fad, then it is possible that California's love affair with hybrid cars is also just a fad.

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Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Russia puts Western oil 'supplies at risk'? Join the hybrid revolution.

"A former government adviser has warned it is "only a matter of time" before BP or Shell faces a bid from a Russian state-owned group such as Gazprom which could threaten western oil supplies. Professor Peter Odell, an energy economist, says ExxonMobil is also vulnerable to a Chinese takeover as the large UK and American stock-listed oil groups lose their influence in global markets." (more)

If it isn't OPEC seeking a bottom cap of $55.00 per barrel, it's China and Russia and state-owned oil companies threatening the price of gasoline.

Fortunately, Congress has passed tax incentives for hybrids that protect GM and Ford, rather than incentives that seek to achieve change as quickly as possible. Unfortunately, protectionism isn't what GM needs, it needs a good kick in the ass. GM's biggest problem these days, apparently, is a lack of Hummers according to Bob Lutz, not tax incentives for hybrids.

Hummers are far more important than foreign oil dependency.

Besides, what would ending foreign oil dependency accomplish anyway? A less complicated Middle East? Putting an important part of the American economy back in the hands of Americans?

Obviously, achieving oil dependency wouldn't be easy, it would require the kind of technological revolution which would create new jobs, new industries and new markets. What a waste!

The technology behind hybrid cars offers such a revolution. Hybrid technology can make any vehicle 20 - 30 percent more fuel efficient, today, whether that vehicle is fueled by gasoline, diesel, ethanol or even hydrogen. New software and new batteries will double the fuel efficiency of today's hybrids in just a few years. Then plug-in hybrids could also increase hybrid performance while creating an ideal platform for the introduction of small fuel cells into the automobile.

Unfortunately, hybrid production doesn't result in the huge profit margins many automakers covet - hybrid vehicles only make the world a better place. And Hummers, it seems, are much cooler than making a better world.

Gasoline and oil costs might drop in the short term, but the long term is filled with too many risks not to act as quickly as possible.

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Astrolab: First solar hybrid available for sale

For EUR92,000 you can purchase an Astrolab solar electric hybrid vehicle according to BusinessWeekOnline. The Venturi Astrolab can achieve a top speed of about 70 mph and its performance is "remarkably close to that of a petrol-engined vehicle". While the two-seater can be fueled completely be the power of the sun, it also functions as a plug-in hybrid, so it can also be fueled by standard electricity. Sure this solar hybrid is expensive, but it clearly demonstrates what CAN be accomplished. Maybe the 'solar economy' makes more sense than the 'hydrogen economy'.

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Monday, October 02, 2006

AutoWeek: French Hybrid 'Best in Class'

Last week I made a post about Peugeot's diesel hybrid concept car, the C-Matisse. Well, I wasn't the only one impressed by this elegant hybrid. AutoWeek named the vehicle Best in Class. While the hybrid is probably doomed to the conceptual stage, let's hope the hybrid powertrain eventually finds a home in a real car. The world needs some French hybrid cars.

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Camry hybrid car 'near perfect'

According to Technoride the Toyota Camry hybrid is a "nearly perfect car".

"It's an incredible combination of fuel economy, roominess, and fit and finish. About all that's missing is a sense of the automotive character found in competitors or in the sibling Prius Hybrid. But enough people seem not to mind that the Camry has been the best-selling car in America for most of the past decade."

The 2007 Camry hybrid starts $26,200.

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Sunday, October 01, 2006

Full tax credit for Toyota hybrids is over

Happy October. Unfortunately, October means that the full hybrid tax credit for Toyota hybrid vehicles is now expired. Now, any Toyota hybrid purchase will only qualify for half the credit. So, how will this affect Toyota hybrid sales?

If the goal of tax credits for hybrid cars was meant to change consumer behavior, why was the credit capped by manufacturer? Shouldn't getting as many hybrids on the road as quickly as possible be the main goal? Shouldn't the credit be consumer-driven, not manufacturer-driver?

I've said it before and I'll say it again, if GM was leading U.S. hybrid sales with the Prius, rather than Toyota, I doubt the legislation would have been written the same. Unfortunately, GM is still more focused on new Hummers rather than new hybrids.

Why are hybrid credits sitting idle when consumers can use them NOW? Is this free market capitalism?

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Friday, September 29, 2006

Last Day for full Toyota hybrid tax credits

Tomorrow is the last day to buy a Toyota Prius, Highlander hybrid, Camry hybrid, or Lexus RX400h if you want to receive the full hybrid vehicle tax credit.

If you are going to buy any other hybrid, no worries - not this year.

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Peugeot's diesel hybrid in 2010?

The C-Metisse diesel hybrid vehicle by Peugeot could hit the streets of France in 4 years.In the last year or two, executives from Peugeot have made very positive statements regarding the future of hybrid vehicles, essentially claiming that hybrids ARE the future. The idea being that Europe's diesel vehicles will become diesel hybrid vehicles and, eventually, fuel cell hybrid vehicles. Today, the costs of such a vehicle are probably too expensive for most consumers, as evidenced by Toyota's recent statements on diesel hybrids. However, as more suppliers provide the technology for clean diesels and hybrids, costs will reduce. Consequently, Peugeot is showing off its C-Métisse diesel hybrid vehicle at the Paris Auto Show, which could hit the streets by 2010 according to MSNBC.

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Thursday, September 28, 2006

Toyota diesel hybrids coming soon? Not

"Already the diesel [price] premium is quite high, then you'd have to pay a hybrid premium, so we're not seeing that there's a market," Toyota Motor Europe chief executive Tadashi Arashima told BBC News. The response came when Mr. Arashima was asked about Peugeot's plans to make diesel hybrid vehicles.

Some fans of hybrid cars have hoped for a line of clean diesel hybrids, which would offer even better fuel efficiency than current gasoline hybrids. Perhaps when Peugeot and other European automakers begin to produce their own diesel hybrid vehicles, Toyota will change its plans.

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Suzuki hybrid coming in 2011?

Suzuki will develop a new hybrid vehicle which will be offered sometime in 2011 or 2012. According to AutoblogGreen, Suzuki will produce its hybrids with their own technology.

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Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Nissan's hybrid vehicle plans

What's up with Nissan and hybrid cars? Why has Carlos Ghosn been so bearish regarding hybrids? While Nissan plans to offer the Nissan Altima hybrid next year, it will almost certainly be the only Nissan hybrid available until 2010 - when Nissan will begin offering its own hybrid technology. Until 2010, the Nissan Altima hybrid will be based largely on Toyota hybrid technology.

Still, has Nissan and Ghosn really been so bearish?

Sure Nissan missed the early hybrid hype, so what could Ghosn do? I guess about the same thing as GM, 'hybrids don't make business sense'. Yet both GM and Nissan are going to develop hybrids anyway. If hybrid vehicles don't make business sense, does it makes sense to follow the leader, Toyota, down an expensive, bad business path?

How does that make sense?

Obviously, the 'hybrids don't make business sense' automakers realize the potential of hybrid technology could make great business sense - maybe not today, but maybe in the next couple of years. Besides, if gas prices do push higher, consumers won't care if hybrids make business sense to automakers, they'll only care if they save money at the pump.

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Volvo very bullish on hybrid vehicles?

I flipped on CNBC yesterday and the CEO of the Volvo Group was on Morning Call. Eventually, the hybrid question was asked, and I was surprised by what the CEO had to say. While I can't quote him, he essentially stated that hybrid technology was the key to energy efficiency. He further noted that Volvo was far along in its hybrid development program, and that Volvo is selling hybrid versions of heavy duty trucks outside of the U.S. Ultimately, I found it very interesting that the CEO didn't claim that hybrids were an important part of their future plans, but were key to the future. Oh, those crazy diesel-loving Europeans.

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Friday, September 22, 2006

Full Tax Credits For Toyota Hybrids Almost Over

The full tax credit for hybrid vehicles is almost over for Toyota hybrids. Starting Oct. 1, hybrid cars produced by Toyota will only qualify for half their current tax credit. While President Bush has asked Congress to extend these credits for 1 more year, Congress has not complied. It's hard not to wonder if the Toyota Prius, by far the best selling hybrid automobile, had been produced by GM instead of a Japanese automaker, would the credit still be expiring?

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Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Government loans to help Big 3 develop hybrid vehicles, etc.

"The Big Three automakers could get up to $20 billion in federally backed loan guarantees to speed the development of "green technologies," including hybrid electric engines, flexible fuels and clean diesel under a bill to be introduced this week in Congress." (More)

Will the Big 3 even care? It's not free money - they will have to pay it back. Besides, with gas prices falling, will the Big 3 just return to business as usual - hoping that SUV sales will again pick up?

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