Friday, June 26, 2009

Will cap and trade reduce foreign oil dependency?

Does it all come down to gas prices?

As the House quickly tweaks 1200 pages of cap and trade legislation, cutting chunks of it, unfortunately, into large slices of pork, I cannot help but wonder how much cap and trade will affect foreign oil dependency.

A couple months ago USAToday published research that suggested that by 2015 cap & trade would add between .16 cents on the low end to $2.58 on the high end to the price of a gallon of gas.

That's a lot of variability. If cap and trade only results in an extra .16 cents at the pump, it seems hard to believe that cap and trade's affect on gas prices would have much impact on foreign oil dependency. Of course, if the high end becomes reality, we'll significantly reduce foreign oil dependency, but we'll also kill the US auto industry.

Is cap and trade the right approach to foreign oil dependency? Is foreign oil dependency irrelevant compared to global warming?

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Friday, June 12, 2009

$4:00 gas in 2010: How does the US fare?

Why doesn't the US take foreign oil dependency seriously? Where are the politicians building careers on this issue, an issue that unites the American people.Will trucks still sell?

I'm not predicting $4.00 gas in 2010. It's possible, but so is $2.00 gas.

Still, what if gas prices hit $4.00+ for all of 2010? Wouldn't the auto industry need another bailout? Would China bail the US out - hah! - again?

Earlier today I read that Chrysler's biggest worry right now is gas prices. Since it'll be at least a year before any of Fiat's more fuel efficient models hit the US, Chrysler worries that high gas prices could kill it's profitable vehicles - all gas guzzlers - and its business.

Yet, the odds on $4.00 gas in 2010 are pretty good.

Isn't it time to take foreign oil dependence a bit more seriously? With public polls showing such consensus on this issue, why is foreign oil dependency but a sound bite in the political arena?

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Monday, June 08, 2009

Does the Volt really resonate in America?

Can the Chevy Volt change America's lack of desire to spend more on hybrid cars to help fight foreign oil dependency?More hype than reality?

GM is holding a technology briefing today that will include updates on GM's new, fully operational battery lab as well as more confirmation about a new fleet of pre-production Chevy Volts. None of this news, however, is really that new if you've been following the Volt story.

In a nutshell, however, the Chevy Volt is on track, even ahead of schedule. More important, GM believes it can significantly reduce costs, especially regarding the battery, by just the second generation. Nonetheless, the Volt will still cost a good bit more than both a conventional vehicle, as well as a conventional hybrid vehicle like the Toyota Prius.

So, can the Volt really be America's car?

Numerous studies indicate that most Americans are very concerned about foreign oil dependency, and they believe that hybrid cars are a strategically important part of ending this dependency. Yet, the majority of these Americans are not willing to pay extra for these strategically important vehicles.

Can a potentially revolutionary American hybrid, or range extended electric vehicle, change this complacent attitude? Or, are significantly higher gas prices the Volt's only chance of serious market penetration?

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Friday, May 29, 2009

Carbon schmarbon: It's foreign oil dependency, stupid

It's foreign oil dependency, stupidDoes global warming resonate with America?

Today, most Americans - most of Main Street - believe that hybrid cars are "strategically" important to the United States. Yet, most of these Americans have real doubts about global warming. So, how do most Americans reconcile this bit of irony?

Foreign oil dependency.

According to recent data, most Americans believe hybrid cars are "strategically" important because of foreign oil dependency, followed by saving auto jobs. For most Americans, global warming is not a reason to buy a hybrid vehicle.

Yet, Democrats, when discussing the issue of the oncoming auto revolution, always frame this conversation around global warming. Around carbon. Around cap and trade. Main Street, however, does not agree with Democrats on this issue.

Of course, once America also believed 'separate, but equal' was a fair policy until the government led America out of that insanity. So, the government leading the people, rather than the people leading the government, is sometimes a necessary evil.

Nonetheless, why not more of a focus on ending foreign oil dependence? Inevitably, ending foreign oil dependence would have a positive impact on global warming. Moreover, ending foreign oil dependency, like beating the Russians to the moon, is something almost every American could rally behind. Foreign oil dependence is the thread that can sew unity amongst the workers, industry, and and the government.

Ultimately, inevitably, American tax payers are going to risk as much as a few hundred billion on the US auto industry. Why not leverage this investment into a national campaign to end foreign oil dependency? Besides if you bring average Americans into this movement, it will probably be easier to work cap & trade legislation through Congress in the background.

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Thursday, May 21, 2009

Cake eaters: America and hybrid cars

Most Americans believe in the strategic importance of hybrid cars, but most are unwilling to pay anything extra to help develop these technologies.88 percent of US adults believe hybrids are strategically important

Wow. I guess I can't say I'm surprised, but I'm certainly disappointed.

A recent study finds that 88 percent of US adults believe that hybrid cars are strategically important to 1.) Reduce foreign oil dependence, 2.) Save and create auto-related jobs, and 3.) To help the environment.

Unfortunately, only 23 percent of Americans are willing to pay extra for hybrids. 35 percent will only buy a hybrid if it costs the same as a comparable non-hybrid. Another 33 percent will only buy a hybrid if it costs less than a comparable non-hybrid.

So, a majority of Americans believe in the strategic importance of hybrid cars for national security, jobs, and the environment, but most are willing to invest NOTHING in these strategically important vehicles? Shameful. What a bunch of selfish, vision-less cake eaters.

Anyway, might this attitude change if more marketing tying hybrids and foreign oil dependency replaced some of the environmentally-skewed commercials of today, since that issue most resonates with Americans? Then again, since there are so few American-made hybrids, such a message would probably be pointless.

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Monday, May 18, 2009

35 mpg by 2016: Still a bad addict

Can US automakers survive achieving new CAFE requirements, let alone trying to end foreign oil dependency?The 35 mpg+ Ford Fusion hybrid

Tomorrow President Barack Obama will issue new vehicle emissions standards that will include a green house gas emission reduction of about 30 percent, according to early reports. Thus, by 2016 CAFE will be increased to 35 mpg - the number CAFE is now to achieve by 2020.

So, by 2016 America will still be heavily addicted to foreign oil?

Obviously, this is a step in the right direction. Unfortunately, it also demonstrates how dependent America will be upon foreign oil for many, many more years.

Also, I cannot help but wonder, can US automakers make enough profit along the way to such standards?

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Monday, May 11, 2009

Made in America to suck foreign oil

I buy hybrid cars to fight foreign oil dependency. Does buying American absolve the use of foreign oil?Buy American or eat your import?

My father is a retired union worker. His entire life he's bought nothing but Fords and he would never consider buying a foreign car. Thus, he doesn't think much of my Toyota hybrid.

However, despite the endless problems we had with almost every single Ford my father bought - although his recent Ford purchases have been significantly more reliable - I still considered a Ford for my last auto purchase.

Unfortunately, other than SUVs that I don't care for, Ford didn't have an offering for my fuel efficient motives. Thus, I went with Toyota, again. In fact, I've never bought an American car, but I would.

Today, "The Made In America" bus tour will kick off in Michigan to bring awareness to the plight of the US auto industry. Yet, I cannot help but wonder, how much FOREIGN oil will this American bus tour consume? Also, I can't help but wonder why so many of these "Made in America" folks seem so indifferent to the foreign oil they guzzle in their American autos.

Moreover, why can't these "Made in America" people converge these two fronts of domestic autos and foreign oil? To me "Made in America to end Foreign Oil Dependency" could sell. Is it just me?

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Thursday, May 07, 2009

Energy Independence: An American joke

Foreign oil dependence might be America's Achilles heal, yet it's not even on our radar today. What a joke.Can the US auto industry end America's foreign energy dependence?

Chrysler isn't paying back $7 billion that the government lent to the automaker to stay out of bankruptcy. GM is losing billions by the week. Yet, the government is about to loan the auto industry up to $50 billion to help the US auto industry retool for greater fuel efficiency.

Then there are bailouts for auto suppliers, financing units like GMAC, cash for clunker programs, etc., but why dwell? The real point is, when will all of this bailout money lead to energy independence?

In terms of future fuel efficient, oil dependence-fighting vehicles, it's all about the plug, right? Yet, GM's Chevy Volt probably won't be profitable until the 2020s according to Obama's auto task force unless there is a tripling in gas prices. What happens in the interim? Why can't the Big 3 compete with Toyota's already profitable, 50 mpg Prius?

Thus, many claim that only a gas tax can push America off foreign energy. However, as popular as President Obama is today, even he couldn't push such an idea through Congress.

Today, America's Achilles heal, foreign oil dependency, is more exposed than ever, and by the time we truly realize the dangers of this sick joke, it might be too late. Ironically, however, now that gas prices have fallen, this issue isn't even on America's radar.

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Friday, April 24, 2009

Will cap and trade increase auto fuel economy?

How much must gas cost to make the Fusion hybrid a big seller?

So, Bill Ford Jr. is now advocating a gas tax. It seems everyone in the auto industry is hyping a gas tax these days. It provides such a perfect excuse for Big 3 inaction on fuel economy. Of course, its hard to argue that Bill and others don't have a bit of a point.

Still, why now? Is it just because the White House has indicated a gas tax isn't even on the table, as it all comes down to cap & trade now?

I'm not really sure, but I have wondered lately how cap & trade would affect gas prices. One article in USAToday recently claimed that by 2015 a cap & trade program would add between .16 cents on the low end to about $2.58 on the high end to the price of a gallon of gas.

Certainly, an additional .16 cents won't accomplish anything. $2.58, on the other hand, would have a pretty big effect. Nonetheless, that's quite a range and a lot of uncertainty.

Obviously, cap & trade is about carbon, but is such a program too open ended if the goal is ending foreign oil dependency?

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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Obama asks Americans to join clean energy "mission"

Carbon trading. Are you ready to join President Obama's clean energy mission?Will Americans support cap & trade?

As I write this, President Obama is speaking in Newton, IA about the need for a new era of energy exploration in the US. Thus, based on the EPA's rule that CO2 is dangerous to America's health, it's time for the US to pass a CO2 cap & trade program. According to Obama, the "American people are ready to be part of a mission," a mission to end foreign oil dependency and move from dirty energy to clean energy via carbon trading.

Are you ready to join the mission? I am.

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Tuesday, April 21, 2009

CAFE loopholes to increase oil dependency? More gas tax proof?

We could implement a gas tax now and forever change America's energy policy.Just make it bigger?

So GM has a problem. New CAFE requirements will require that GM add hybrid technology to its Chevy Tahoe.

Good start, right? The Tahoe hybrid achieves much better fuel economy than the conventional Tahoe, especially in the city. Unfortunately, the added hybrid costs also suck out GM's profit margin, especially at today's gas prices.

Solution: Just make the conventional Tahoe bigger so it applies for a different class of fuel economy regulations and skip the hybrid version reports a scary article by BusinessWeek.

Hmmm. Waste tons of time and money creating complex, loopholed and ineffective legislation that swaps real costs for treasury bills owned by China, or initiate a simple, effective gas tax? And Congress wants to investigate credit swaps?

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

Time to revisit plug-in tax credit legislation?

Is the battery size the key to the lithium battery revolution, or is getting lithium into as many cost-effective cars as quickly as possible a more important and efficient goal?Is its battery big enough?

There has been an AP story all over the Internet covering the difficulties of reaching President Obama's 1 million plug-ins by 2015 goal. Cheap gas, a struggling economy, bankrupt automakers, and excessively expensive technology, etc. make the goal impossible without massive help from the government.

Thus far the government has offered tens of billions in loans and aid to help automakers retool, in addition to plug-in tax credits for consumers worth up to $7500. While these tax credits are not as heavily skewed towards large battery plug-ins as originally proposed, they are still skewed towards vehicles that some studies have questioned in terms of efficiency.

Now, I don't want to argue against large battery plug-ins, but I do wonder if this legislation is as effective and efficient as it could be. Even worse, I wonder if this legislation is semi-counterproductive.

For instance, with plug-in profitability possibly a decade away, are plug-ins more about CAFE balancing than an aggressive attack on oil dependence? Also, will these vehicles be profitable after tax credits expire?

Is the size of the battery really the key this early in the game, or should there be more focus on putting lithium into as many cars as possible as quickly as possible?

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Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Ford's $20,000 hybrid?

Where is Ford's $20,000 hybrid vehicle to contend with the Toyota Prius and the Honda Insight? Ford could gain a lot with small hybrid cars, such as the Ford Focus hybrid.Ford's third gen Focus

I was checking out new pictures of the third generation Ford Focus on MotorTrend, and I couldn't help but think, why not make the Focus Ford's Honda Insight and Toyota Prius contender?

Imagine a $20,000 American hybrid!?

Hello! You wouldn't be able to keep it in stock. Even if the car lost money per unit for the next few years, imagine the traffic it would bring into showrooms. Imagine the positive press. And, eventually it would make a nice profit.

Make the gas version the econ model. Offer the hybrid in medium and luxury level trims. Maybe do the same for an EV version.

Isn't that the kind of choice America's freedom from foreign oil requires?

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Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Is driving a Hummer a privilege, a right, or a crime?

Gas guzzling is not a right because it endangers the national security of the US as well as the health and security of its citizens.Is responsibility a dirty word?

Is driving any vehicle you want a god-given right? Today, MotorTrend is asking its readers, "Is driving a privilege or a right?"

Initially, I thought it was a privilege, but I've come to think it's a right that all qualified citizens are entitled. However, that right can be taken away if certain laws are broken because the safety of the people is more important than any individual's right to endanger other people.

Still, what about the kind of vehicle you drive? Should consumers have the right to drive any vehicle they want?

Don't we make speed limit laws, etc. for the benefit and safety of the community? Likewise, shouldn't the government make laws outlawing vehicles that endanger the safety of the people? Hence, if gas-guzzling threatens the national security of the US, does it not threaten the people of the US?

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Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Volt Shock: How do we fight foreign oil dependency in the short term?

The Chevy Volt can't save GM and big battery plug-in vehicles can't save American from foreign oil dependency any time soon. Shouldn't we be doing more to fight foreign oil dependency.How many more oil wars before we're free?

According to Barack Obama's auto task force, GM's Chevy Volt will be too expensive to help GM's viability any time soon. Obviously, if GM is struggling to survive, it can't afford to make too many Volts if it can't make any money off of them.

So, how is the US going to fight foreign oil dependency in the short term?

Recently, Congress enacted tax credits for plug-in hybrids that strongly favor large battery vehicles, such as the Chevy Volt, versus smaller battery plug-in hybrids like a plug-in Prius. Yet, according to the task force, these large battery plug-in vehicles are going to be too expensive to help either GM or America any time soon. Likewise, some studies question whether large battery vehicles are even wise at all.

The point is, doesn't Congress have to do a better job of incentivizing the fight against foreign oil dependency? How many more decades of foreign oil dependency can America (and the world) survive?

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Playing tough with Detroit. Is a gas tax next?

Is a gas tax the only way to make US automakers viable while we fight foreign oil dependency?Just a "sacrificial lamb"?

Last week I speculated that President Obama's task force would give GM and Chrysler the bailout money without any serious strings. Doing so, I argued, didn't make sense because GM and Chrysler just didn't seem very viable - especially not if the auto run rate in the US is only around 9 million vehicles per year, and much higher fuel requirements are in the mix.

Instead, Rick Wagoner, CEO of GM, is now gone, and the task force stated that neither plan was viable. And they aren't. While getting rid of Wagoner might not change much, some times real change requires a change in management. It just shakes things up. It happens all the time in professional sports.

Ultimately, I think this was the right move. However, if America is to challenge foreign oil dependency, while sustaining a viable auto industry, other moves need to be made. Somehow, everyday Americans need to be made part of this problem and they need to become part of the solution. While ideas like gas taxes are sure to enrage many, such ideas might be the only way forward.

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

Oil Prices Rising: Where's the demand?

When will America get serious about foreign oil dependency? What the hell is Congress doing?Just a weakening dollar?

2 weeks ago Boone Pickens called $65 oil before it falls back under $40. We aren't there yet - only just over $50 - but the recent surge in oil prices suggests Pickens might be on to something, even far sooner than Boone might have believed.

It's not that oil prices won't ever decline, it's just that the trend is undoubtedly upwards. More important, once America's economy gets rolling again, coupled with the growing world economy, oil demand is going to outpace production and refinement, and prices will spike. It's just that simple.

But, why is oil rising so much today?

Some say its all just a hedge against the declining dollar. So, that's a good thing?

I say its just more painting on the wall that foreign oil dependency has no future, and the longer the US waits to address this issue, the more it's going to cost.

I know it's more fun to focus on AIG bonuses worth a few hundred million versus a risk of a few trillion, but isn't the future more important?

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Monday, March 16, 2009

Hating GM, Obama and America: Why it's time to bail out the Big 3

Time to leave it all behind

I've loved hating GM over the years. Even the Chevy Volt is worth hating sometimes. We've been hearing about it for years and its still almost years away. Furthermore, most Americans need fuel efficient solutions that cost less than $20,000, but can still achieve 40 mpg in the city.

Where's that GM product?

Yet, whom do I really hate when I hate GM? Is not GM but a microcosm of America? Health care, social security and pensions are intricately intertwined between GM - and the larger auto industry - and America. In many ways, GM's failures are America's failures.

Finish: Hating GM, Obama and America: Why it's time to bail out the Big 3

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

2011: The next gas crisis

Foreign oil dependency still costs a lot even in this great recession.$60 before gas falls below $40

Boone Pickens was at it again today, pointing out that the US sent $13 billion to foreign countries for our foreign oil addiction in February - a month when US consumers are driving much less than in the past. Likewise, Pickens predicted $75 oil by the end of 2009, setting up an oil crisis similar to this past summer in 2011. (CNBC)

And from there, presumably, it only gets worse.

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Gas tax, cap-and-trade: Can we go green without pain?

Doesn't cap-and-trade or a gas tax have to result in some pain for every day consumers?Don't energy prices have to increase?

There is no doubt that cheap gas has helped pump up the US economy. Unfortunately, Americans didn't use cheap gas to efficiently and intelligently create wealth, we used it quite inefficiently. American consumerism has devolved into bling, not necessity. Our car, for instance, had to be bigger, faster or shinier than our neighbors as we kept up with the Jones's.

Them days are over says the new sheriff in town.

Still, I've been watching a lot of Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's testimony explaining that cap-and-trade tax revenue will help Americans deal with the future's higher energy costs via tax deductions and credits, etc..

Perhaps. Seems a little too perfect world for me to believe.

Nevertheless, considering the impact that foreign oil dependency has had on the world the last couple decades, coupled with the threat of global warming, shouldn't consumers have to accept their share of pain at the pump? Can US politicians put all blame for the inefficient consumerist habits of Americans solely on corporations? Or, do we the people also have to accept some responsibility?

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Tuesday, March 03, 2009

Hybrid cars would have kept GM viable?

Hybrid cars would not have saved GM, and how about a little personal responsibility from the rest of America.Cheap oil built this country

Over the weekend, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel claimed that America was facing a "day of reckoning" regarding health care and energy dependence while discussing GM's financial plight. Emanuel blamed GM for not investing in fuel efficient technology and for instituting an outdated health care plan (as if the UAW had no part in that).

So, am I to assume that if GM had started building hybrid cars at the same rate as Toyota, it wouldn't be in financial trouble?

That's just nonsense. Even when gas was $4.00 this summer most Americans still weren't sure that hybrids were worth the extra costs. Had GM invested in such technology, they'd be better positioned for the future, but their financial woes would be just as bad.

And, obviously, health care is an issue. It's true that GM gave too many benefits to the UAW. Still, how much of America's health care woes are simply related to our obese, lazy lifestyle?

While it's true that America is facing its day of reckoning, it's not all about GM's failures or national health care, it's about every day Americans getting off their asses and taking some personal responsibility.

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Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Climbing Hubbert's Peak in a Prius

Hubbert's Peak: Is the end of oil near? Has peak oil already happened. Shouldn't we be fighting foreign oil dependency as fast as possible?Could it be true?

I remember several years ago, when I covered Southern California real estate on the side, how a number of experts warned that a real estate bust was looming. 20, 40 even 50 percent declines in real estate values were predicted several years before the current crisis hit.

A few years ago I rushed to put some real estate on the market in anticipation of this crash. Ironically, that was the same time many major pension funds were rushing to increase their exposure to real estate, and when mortgage brokers and bankers were doing some of their most scandalous work.

Yet, apparently, nobody in Washington, including Congresses headed by both Republicans and Democrats, and their numerous horde of aides and research assistants, ever heard a whisper of this bubble talk.

Likewise, today, nobody in Washington ever mentions the topic of peak oil. Foreign oil dependency is a good sound bite at best. Apparently, Washington firmly believes there is an extremely adequate supply of oil for the World, well, at least for America, for many more years. The Saudi Royal Family has given us their word.

Plus, there is always plenty of tar sand. Or maybe we'll get lucky in the Arctic - if global warming pans out and after we defeat the Russians for the rights.

However, while not popular in Washington, the number of experts starting to talk about peak oil is growing. The End of Oil and the Hydrogen Economy were two of my early favorites that covered this subject. Recently, I really enjoyed ZOOM. And the other day I watched A Crude Awakening, a documentary on Peak Oil that includes interviews with a wide array of experts from academia to policy (Graph link).

While all Peak pundits hope beyond hope that their peak predictions are wrong, they all believe that peak oil could be very, very near - as within the next decade. Or maybe its already happened.

And, the downside of Hubbert's Peak - the speed at which oil production can decline - is far, far, far faster than America or the world can react. Will we be prepared?

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Monday, February 23, 2009

Obama's Auto Team: Foreign-made non-hybrids

Why doesn't Obama's team drive hybrid vehicles.One Prius in the bunch

Of the eight members so far named to the Presidential Task Force on the Auto Industry and their 10 senior aides, two own American vehicles according to the DetroitNews. Just one owns a hybrid.

I don't know if that means that Detroit is in trouble, but this news bothers me nonetheless.

It reminds me of when Barack Obama told constituents at a town hall meeting that gas-guzzling SUVs were bad, and then he left the meeting in a gas-guzzling SUV. Of course, not long after he purchased a Ford Escape hybrid.

Most of these people are professional politicians, or people whom live off the political system, yet so far in their lives they haven't cared enough to act on foreign oil dependency or global warming? Are they all oil-loving closet-Republicans?

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Sunday, February 22, 2009

Crude Awakenings on peak oil - Are we doomed?

If peak oil is near, the end of the world as we know it isn't far behind. It's time to make foreign oil dependency a national priority."Oil is our God"

Just finished watching A Crude Awakening: The Oil Crash.

Black blood. Excrement of the Devil. Blood of the Earth. Whatever you want to call it, oil - and its cheap abundant energy - is the root of our technological civilization. It is the life blood of today's world.

However, thou giveth, thou taketh away.

Quite quickly peak oil could wipe out the civilization that cheap oil created, or at least that's the message of Crude Awakening.

Once oil is gone, it will be immensely difficult to replace. And, even if it can be replaced, the replacement will almost certainly cost much more than oil, much more than $3.00 per gallon - MUCH more. Yet, today, there is no real world solution to cost-effectively replacing oil that has been proven technologically feasible.

Moreover, there is little hope of politicians - anywhere in the world - taking the lead on this issue according to experts in the film. Quite simply, the truth is too hard to swallow, but if peak oil is real and near, today's economic crisis will be the last good times most of us ever see.

Ultimately, America needs less cars, much more public transportation, efficiency at all levels, and a huge gas tax to wake Americans up to the reality of the future. The days of cheap energy are over or soon to be over. The sooner that is accepted the better the chances of surviving this imminent catastrophe.

How bad could it get? Worse than you can imagine.

How about the end of the airline industry, for instance? I mean you'll NEVER fly anywhere again. And that isn't even the extreme end. Without oil's cheap energy, the planet is incapable of supporting more than a couple billion people, at best, which means the majority of the people in the world would need to die.

No political issue today in America should be more important than ending foreign oil dependency, as a start. We cannot move fast enough towards efficiency and towards alternative energy.

Sure President Obama is taking more steps than George Bush, but they are baby steps, and without a few giant leaps, the game might already be over.

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Thursday, February 19, 2009

Kill Detroit or give me a moonshot

Can't we all just drive Segways?

Of course not. We need automobiles. Yet, maybe automobiles aren't as important as they used to be, and that should be embraced. Still, automobiles are going to continue to be an important part of America's future.

Thus, a viable auto industry is essential to America's future. Even Japanese automakers want a strong US auto industry. Without those jobs, many more Americans won't be able to buy new Honda's and Toyota's.

Fortunately, I've been pretty impressed with how Obama and Congress have dealt with Detroit so far. Instead of just rushing tens of billions to them, viability plans have been required - plans that require serious negotiations with all vested parties. Similarly, some pretty strong statements have come out of the White House and Congress. (Then again, who knows what is going on behind closed doors. Perhaps Nancy Pelosi has already assured Ron Gettelfinger of the bottom line.)

Nonetheless, without everything going perfectly in the next few years, the Big 3 are not going to be viable, as I blogged yesterday. Even worse, if the future is going to be driven by efficiency, the Big 3 have a horrible record, especially in terms of profitability.

And, without a serious surge in gasoline prices - even greater than this past summer - I just don't see how the Big 3 can compete at efficiency if the nation moves towards a model that California, and many other states, are embracing. That's Honda's specialty, not GM or Chrysler.

Ironically, however, the kind of gas price surge that would make efficiency profitable would probably keep the annual run rate of vehicle sales below anything the Big 3 can survive without major re-organization.

So, why don't we accept this as reality? Change is inevitable. Can we really hope and subsidize our way out of such a conundrum?

America needs a bigger, transparent vision of the future when it comes to energy and automobiles. Inevitably, we need a moonshot or a far more serious, honest reorganization plan. Otherwise we're gambling a lot of money on terrible odds.

If taxpayers are going to have to subsidize the US auto industry for the next decade, let's be honest right now. And, let's make those subsidies dependent upon a real plan to end foreign oil dependency by 2020.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Millenial drivers ready for intelligent transportation?

Is the millennial generation the key to smarter automobiles, such as hybrid cars and other more efficient technologies.?Do you really need it?

A number of my neighbors drive large SUVs. None of them are married or have kids. Most of them are single. They own neither a boat nor a camper. Not even a few motorbikes or bicycles.

Others own fancy sports cars full of horsepower - impossible, however, to use on most occasions in the clogged streets of my northeast Los Angeles neighborhood.

Foolishness. Waste.

Fortunately, "Millennial" drivers crave iPods over horsepower. Email access, iPod and laptop hook ups reign far more supreme than size and power.

Is it evolution at work?

Combined with studies questioning America's love affair with the automobile, global warming, foreign oil dependency, etc., is not a new automotive order ripe for the making?

Possibly more important, are bailout viability plans even capable of assessing exactly what America's automotive future should be, or at least could be?

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Thursday, February 12, 2009

Bailout Nation: Calling Big 3 haters and supporters

Are the Big 3 ready?

"Get me a plan that works."

That's what President Obama is hoping for on Tuesday, when automakers present their restructuring plans to the Treasury Department. Is such a plan, however, even possible?

Auto sales sunk 37 percent in January as automakers struggled for survival. GM, for instance, is slashing 10,000 white collar jobs and offering early retirement to every hourly worker as it tries to raise cash from partnerships in China and Korea. Additionally, GM is trying to unload brands such as Hummer.

Serious changes are occurring within the auto industry, which is good, but is it enough? And, what about the product?

In recent weeks and months, all of the Big Three have been showing off their EV plans as proof of how they will help America reduce foreign oil dependency and global warming? But is this all just poppycock?

If these cars are going to save the Big 3, the Big 3 will need to sell millions of such vehicles EVERY year, right? When is that going to happen? 2020? Later?

Yet, in just a few months, California might put into law emissions requirements that will soon make most of the Big 3's money makers unfit for sale in the Nation's most important auto market. How will GM or Chrysler compete with the Toyota Prius or the Honda Insight in such an environment?

So, what should Obama and Congress do? Undoubtedly, a new bailout is inevitable, but should America's new energy vision focus only on protecting the Big 3, or should it be more focused on achieving results, on achieving real change?

For instance, why not do just enough to keep the Big 3 afloat, while providing massive consumer-driven tax incentives for highly efficient, manufactured in America, vehicles made by any automaker? Besides, isn't competition the mother of innovation?

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Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Making hybrids cool to the car guy

It's time for America to fully embrace hybrid cars as the future.Plug-in conversions could be one way

A few weeks ago I was hanging out with a friend of a friend during part of a bachelor party weekend. While everyone else was golfing, we hung out at the Sports Book in the Venetian Casino. As we didn't really know each other, we eventually got into jobs, life, etc. And, inevitably, we got into cars as my new friend, Bruce, is an absolute car nut.

And, Bruce hates hybrid cars.

OK. He doesn't hate hybrids, but he finds them boring - a common criticism amongst car guys.

Today, MotorTrend is featuring an article, Why Gasoline-Blooded Enthusiasts Will Learn to Love Hybrids, written by a car nut. Pretty interesting piece, especially from a car guy, about the things that might help push car enthusiasts into more electrified vehicles.

Still, I say, screw car nuts.

How about all the problems that foreign oil dependency has caused the world the last few decades? Isn't that reason enough to make the switch to efficiency? Besides, as MotorTrend points out, there are lots of cool things about electrification that can appeal to car enthusiasts, such as blazing fast speeds.

Ultimately, however, we're not making the switch to hybrids and efficiency because it will be funner in the long run, but because it's the only option left for America's auto industry. Yet, if we make the switch, we might find that our new cars aren't just more interesting to drive, but the world we drive them in has become a much better place.

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Thursday, February 05, 2009

Almost $20 billion on foreign oil in December - Is America stupid?

Almost $20 billion on foreign oil dependency for just the month of December? How stupid is America?
And that's a cheap month

For months America's oil demand has been crashing, despite considerably lower gas prices than just 6 months ago.

The price of a barrel of oil has declined to less than a third of 2008 highs.

Yet, America still spent $19.3 billion on foreign oil in the month of December.

And THAT's a BAD month, at least as far as the exporters of America's foreign oil are concerned. For America it was a fricken bargain.

Almost $20 billion a month is a deal!?! Are we stupid?

Nearly in depression and we're still on pace to spend a quarter trillion on foreign oil costs this year, and that doesn't even include the billions we'll spend on oil tanker lane security, etc. (Let's not even get into war costs)?

This isn't insanity?

Yet, had oil prices stayed where they were this summer, we might have spent the entire costs of the current stimulus package - now near Vote in the Senate - on our foreign oil consumption bill alone.

What does that add up to after 10 years?

Sadly, aside from Boone Pickens, and his Pickens Plan, no one is really talking about this crisis. I'm not saying his plan is right, but his attack on the costs of foreign oil is absolutely spot on. This crisis is an opportunity for great, return on investment, change.

America can't rally around that?

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Tax credits for guzzlers - Does it ever end?

Tax credits for gas guzzlers. This is the big change? Why not tax credits only for hybrid cars, or only for cars that achieve at least 30 mpg in the city?One last dance on the Congressional gravy train?

I've had a hard time not commenting on the plan, now part of the stimulus package before the Senate, to give consumers a tax credit for buying new cars. So, I'm just going to get it out of my chest.

Are you kidding me? Foreign-oil sucking, 911-causing, gas GUZZLERS?

This is change?

I say, F cars right now, unless we're talking a serious change, such as a plan to end foreign oil dependency by 2020. If not, just give Detroit enough money to stay above water for now. That's it. We'll sort it out later when there is time for a better plan.

Besides, if it doesn't kill you, it only makes you stronger, right?

I mean, really, if you wanna spend a trillion dollars today, there should only be one focal point: the real estate and the mortgage mess.

Isn't that the root of our problems in the first place? So, why focus on anything else right now?

Don't have any ideas?

Here's one. Since the banks screwed us on this thing in the first place, let's just force them to lower rates on ALL mortgages significantly, or something like that.

They owe us, right? Direct and simple. Transparent.

But tax credits for gas guzzlers? Excuse me, I have to go to the bathroom right now.

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Monday, February 02, 2009

Save Detroit? I think I need help!

Still not enough

Somebody call my shrink. I need help.

The US auto industry angers me to no ends. Of course, everyone angers me to no end lately, and all this Obama hope is the root of it. Talk about transference.

It's not that I don't have hope. It's that I don't believe one person is enough. Obama can't save us from ourselves. We're the ones - ALL OF US - that need to change. Yes, some more than others, but all of us.

Instead, however, we just want Obama to fix the world, to make everything alright as we pick up another sack of Big Mac's in our gas guzzler and plant ourselves on the couch every day after work.

Whatever.

That's not democracy. This isn't just about Obama, or Democrats, or what ever label you most love using. This is about all of us. It's about the World.

Therefore, I think Obama and Democrats need to stick the stimulus package up their collective asses.

Why?

Because it isn't nearly enough. This isn't any damned moonshot. What is our goal as a Nation?

End foreign oil dependency by 2020.

Give us a moonshot!

Since we're going to bail out the Big 3 one way or another, why not use Detroit to make it happen? Put forth a plan that ends foreign oil dependency by 2020. Period. Put up a trillion dollars and make it happen. The return on investment will easily cover the costs of implementation faster than solar power ever will.

Besides, what does America stand for anymore?

Let's end foreign oil dependency NOW, and lets use the automaker bailout as the impetus.

Have I completely lost it?

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Friday, January 30, 2009

Obama and UAW love equals a green Big 3?

The key to fuel efficiency and global warming?

Less than an hour ago, President Barack Obama signaled his support for the Middle Class by supporting some new measures to make labor unions stronger. Since Obama has strong ties to labor and campaigned on many labor issues, this isn't really surprising news.

Yet, is the UAW, via the Big 3, the key to making the US auto industry lean, green and efficient?

Under Obama, does the road to less CO2 emissions and less foreign oil dependency have to go through Detroit?

For many years, environmentalists have hated the Big 3 which, ultimately, includes the UAW, for endlessly fighting against increases in CAFE or decreases in CO2 emissions. The Big 3, for many in the green movement, have become Public Enemy #1.

On the other hand, however, environmentalists love President Obama and Democrats in general.

Are these irreconcilable differences?

Can Obama, or should Obama, rely on the US auto industry to be the driver of change, because of its connection to labor, when it comes to more stringent environmental regulations and foreign oil dependency reductions? Is embracing the Big 3 the quickest and most efficient path to change, or the quickest way to failure?

Is it time for Obama's Hollywood hot shots to dump their foreign-made Prius hybrids and buy American-made Tahoe hybrids?

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Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Can Obama survive cheap oil?

God bless oil

There are times when I think the whole green movement is going to accomplish nothing, but lots of lost cash. Why?

Not long ago Brazil announced a major oil find. Such finds, and a number of other factors, have some energy analysts predicting a possible, although short term, glut in the oil market within the next decade. Yet, such gluts can last years.

Today, oil prices fell $4.00 on falling demand and an increase in inventories, and Valero warned that it might actually have to shut down refineries due to lack of demand.

Oil supply is overwhelming demand, and with several months of a severely recessed economy almost a certainty, it's hard not to assume that supply could overwhelm demand for the next few years.

Couple that with potential new oil supplies, such as those in Brazil, or new operations in Libya, for instance, and a serious glut in oil demand could be imminent. The oil market has experienced such cycles in the past. Eventually, that has to mean lower gas prices.

Sure, cheap prices are unsustainable. Yet, how many Americans will continue to support Obama's green, efficient plans for autos if gas is cheap for the next four years?

Without a permanent floor on gas, it seems that Obama's green plans could come back to haunt Obama, and the green movement. Inevitably, cheap gas is not good for America. It's like smoking. It's a cancer upon our society. And, at some point one must ask is gas really cheap?

Forget the trillions we'll spend in Iraq. Today, it costs many billions for the Coast Guard and Military to secure US oil lanes out of the Persian Gulf - even at peace time - yet, those costs have never been included at the pump. Why?

Foreign oil has costs. It's time to accept them. It's time for a new gas tax - a tax the government returns to consumers via tax credits for compliant vehicles.

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Monday, January 26, 2009

Dump Detroit if they can't compete with the Prius

How can you make huge investments in Detroit and its culture of inefficiency until they prove they can compete making fuel efficient products such as hybrid cars like the Toyota Prius?How can Detroit compete in the future without a Prius-contender?

President Barack Obama and Democrats in Congress have some new and refreshing ideas for America. To fight foreign oil dependency and global warming - while creating jobs - Democrats are proposing huge investments in cost-inefficient green technologies often built by inefficient companies.

To make these green technologies more cost-effective, many - including this blogger - have suggested a gas tax. Thus far, however, President Obama has been against the idea. In these economic times, it's hard to blame him for such a stance. Still, eventually, some tough decisions must be made.

US automakers are struggling just to survive and if US auto sales don't pick up next year, it's going to be hard for these automakers to survive without a massive bailout. As a result, many are suggesting tax incentives for the consumers of US-made vehicles - most of which are gas-guzzlers. That's not very green.

Yet, this is the conundrum Obama and Democrats must manage. Is it really worth it to create a false market based upon gas-guzzler sales? Maybe the reality is, is that Americans are going to be purchasing less cars. That could be the new automotive reality, and there have been a few studies suggesting that America's love affair with the car is over.

Even more important, there is a good chance that California will soon be regulating its own emissions standards. That means vehicles like the Toyota Prius and the Honda Insight might quickly become the best selling vehicles in California, and as many as 17 other states. Yet, what will Detroit automakers sell? They have few, if any, hot, fuel efficient models.

Some will undoubtedly claim that GM can sell the Chevy Volt, for instance. Well, GM probably won't be selling many Volts by 2016 when California's 30 percent reduction goes into effect. And, even if GM can increase production, the Insight will cost $20,000, the Volt $40,000. Can the Volt really be enough, especially if gas prices don't increase drastically?

Even Ford, with its new hybrid technology, still doesn't have a Prius-contender. While its new Ford Fusion hybrid is compelling, why is Ford only planning to make 25,000 of these hybrid vehicles? More important, if you're rolling out a new hybrid drive, why would you not challenge the standard, the Prius, as Honda did? Can you not compete?

By 2016, when California emission standards go live, Toyota could be selling a million hybrids per year, a majority of them Prius hybrids, yet Detroit might not yet have a competitive - in terms of technology AND costs - product. Can you really bank on Detroit in that reality?

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Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Energy Moonshot: What are you going to do for your country?

It's not just up to Obama

I've been very cynical in recent days. It seems so many believe that President Barack Obama is going to save the world, or at least America. But is such an expectation even fair?

Do we really need Obama to, ultimately, save us from ourselves?

We blame Bush for Iraq, for instance, yet if we, the people, hadn't been driving gas-guzzlers for decades, would war in Iraq have ever been possible? Yes, I know that's overly simplistic, but Americans - as the worlds greatest consumers - have to accept responsibility for how consumerism affects the world.

Unfortunately, however, we live in an age where auto unions call buying foreign cars un-patriotic, even though the American-made cars they make require the unsustainable consumption of war-causing, terrorist-supporting, foreign oil.

The hypocrisy in America is endless.

Fortunately, however, for the first time in decades, we have a President that is epitomized by change. Thanks to Obama, change is in the air. It's believable and everywhere. Equally as important, we have many in Congress ready to spend trillions on change.

But is that enough?

Perhaps the real question should be, are we, the people, ready for change? Can we, the people, even expect great change without being willing to commit to great change?

Thus, instead of just focusing on what Obama can do for us, on this historic day, we should focus on what we can do to help Obama achieve change. This is our moonshot, as the citizens of the world's most important democracy, to prove that choice isn't always made by what's good for us as individuals, but what's good for all of us, as humans.

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Friday, December 12, 2008

American-made hypocrisy: Buying imports and foreign oil dependency

I drive a foreign made hybrid car to reduce my foreign oil print. American-made gas guzzlers are not patriotic.Are American-made gas-guzzlers really patriotic?

With bailout talk heating up in recent weeks, I've received a number of e-mails and blog comments calling import buyers un-American. So, I guess I'm not very patriotic, however....

After 9/11, I decided that I had to kill my foreign oil footprint. And, today, I rarely drive, as I've built most of my life around LA's public transportation system, often to my inconvenience. When I do drive, however, I drive a foreign-made hybrid because in LA congestion, foreign-made hybrid cars offer the best fuel economy of any mainstream autos, PERIOD.

Like, ex-CIA director, James Woolsey, I believe foreign oil dependency is the greatest threat to American national security. In fact, I think regularly driving an American-made gas-guzzler is unpatriotic. I don't care if it's made in America. The foreign oil it guzzles is contributing to what Boone Pickens has called the greatest transfer of wealth the world has ever seen, while bin Laden has called it the greatest theft the world has ever seen.

So, take your American-made gas guzzler and stick it where the sun don't shine, cuz without tons of American national security-threatening Persian Gulf oil, you couldn't drive your gas hog. And waving your American flag can't cover up that hypocrisy.

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Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Cramer calls out OPEC conspiracy

OPEC killing interest in hybrid cars and solar power by reducing the price of oil?Killing alternative energy

Today on the Lightning Round of Jim Cramer's Mad Money, a caller questioned Cramer about solar plays under Obama. Cramer essentially responded that cheap gas is killing solar power and stated that OPEC had helped push oil prices lower to help offset interest in alternative energy.

Obviously, there are many out there espousing similar beliefs, but not many with the pulpit and Street cred of Cramer. While some consider Cramer a crackpot, it's still a pretty interesting statement.

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Give the Big 3 a break, Take 2

Ending foreign oil dependency will take a massive shift to hybrid cars and electric vehicles, but a total shift to such vehicles is impossible today. We need every fuel efficient technology available today.How serious are we about ending foreign oil dependency

President Elect Barack Obama made a lot of strong statements during his Presidential campaign about energy security and green jobs, even touting $150 billion over 10 years to develop the green economy.

$150 billion will help, but it's a drop in the bucket needed for an energy revolution.

Not long ago, Al Gore suggested it would take $400 billion to develop a new, national smart grid - the kind of grid many experts claim is necessary for the widespread adoption of electric vehicles. Perhaps a company such as Better Place can alleviate the need for a such a super grid for EVs, but that's a different story.

Then, we need the electric vehicles, vehicles that are going to cost far more than conventional vehicles for many, many years. Finish: Give the Big 3 a break, Take 2

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Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Autos: Let the new world order begin

Everything soon as efficient as the Prius?

By 2020, if all goes well, the average fleet-wide fuel economy of the US fleet will be 35 mpg, a far cry from the fuel efficiency required to end foreign oil dependency. On the upside, there could be more than a million plug-in vehicles on the road by 2020.

Unfortunately, even if automakers are selling 1 million plug-ins per year in the US by 2020, probably an aggressive number, that would still represent significantly less than 10 percent of total yearly US auto sales, and we'll still be very dependent upon Persian Gulf oil.

Yet, achieving that million EV mark is going to cost many, many billions in government tax incentives. Even then, most automakers will make little profit off these vehicles. In fact, the move towards fuel economy is probably going to mean that total US auto sales per year will decline, even significantly.

Sadly, getting serious about fuel economy probably means significant job loss, not gain - at least in the US.

Is Congress even considering these issues as they ponder the legitimacy of the Big 3's plans for the future? We'll soon find out, but one thing is certain: bailing America out of its foreign oil dependency will cost far, far, far more than US automakers are seeking in loans.

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Thursday, November 20, 2008

F Congress: Give automakers the money

Or do I mean F America?

Congress is in a tough spot. The majority of Americans don't want Congress to help the US auto industry, despite the fact that all of the Big 3's competitors receive heavy subsidies from their governments.

I understand. For decades the Big 3 built a lot of crap and, even after 9/11, they still didn't react to fuel economy. Profit was more important than national security.

Nonetheless, Congress has to give automakers the money and, we the people, should accept that because we the people are also responsible for the state of the US auto industry. We bought the gas-guzzlers. We demanded that gas stay cheap. We voted for politicians that made gas taxes and increased fuel economy standards dirty word for decades.

I know. None of that justifies the failures of the Big 3, whom helped brainwash the people into gas-guzzling stupidity. And, I know most Americans want the corporate big wigs of America, including those from Detroit, to suffer. Yet, it will be average Americans - all over America - that will suffer most if Detroit goes under. Now is not the time to seek revenge, it's time to turn a wrong into a right.

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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Bail out automakers to save the Chevy Volt? Part II

A bailout to save the Volt? Any bailout talk shouldn't be focused on the Volt, but about what more can automakers do to end foreign oil dependency if American tax payers have to help the Big 3.I still love the Volt, but it's time for some reality

On Monday, after reading some stories supporting a US automaker bailout to save the Chevy Volt, I slammed the suggestion (more). It's not that I don't believe in the viability of the Volt, it's that I don't believe the Volt is the critical piece of this discussion.

After watching the CEO's of the Big 3 testify before Congress Tuesday, I believe that even more. Both Ford and GM insisted that the new CAFE requirements - 35 mpg by 2020 - were the absolute most achievable limit. Any new strings for the bailout, they argued, should not include higher fuel economy standards.

Hence, by 2020, most US-made vehicles will still be conventional vehicles - though conventional vehicles with direct injection and other technologies that will increase fuel economy - not vehicles like the Volt.

More important, while 35 mpg fleet fuel economy means foreign oil dependency from the Persian Gulf will be reduced by half, America will still be terribly dependent upon foreign oil in 2020. This reality, not the Volt, should be the focus of the bailout talks.

Why can't automakers help end foreign oil dependency by 2020? If EVs and hybrid cars can't get us there be 2020, what other technologies, fuels, etc. can get us there? Can cellulosic ethanol be significantly increased in the next 10 years? Can natural gas help? Something else?

The US auto industry needs government help, and I'm inclined to help. However, if the government and US tax payers are going to partner with the US auto industry to achieve success, why not strive for revolutionary success?

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Friday, November 14, 2008

Re: Why Americans hate Detroit

Don't want an automaker bailout? What kind of gas hog is in your driveway?The icon of American stupidity

Was it intelligent or morally ethical for GM to develop the Hummer brand as it was dismantling the EV1 program?

Of course not. It was asinine to anyone that cared about foreign oil dependency or the environment. Unfortunately, at the time GM rolled out the Hummer instead of the EV1, MOST Americans didn't care about either global warming or the environment.

So, GM followed the American ideal - "Show me the money."

Today, Republicans in Congress are aghast at the idea of an automaker bailout. Yet, I bet most of them drive gas-guzzlers.

There is no doubt the Big 3 have demonstrated little leadership in fighting global warming and foreign oil dependency, and Americans hate that because it's a reminder of how stupid most American consumers have been acting. Blaming it all on the Big 3 while that big gas hog sits in the driveway is so much more convenient.

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Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Gas prices - Why strings MUST be attached to any bailout

Any automaker bailout must have strings, or American will never produce 1,000,000 hybrid cars.Detroit still far behind the Prius

Pop open the bubbly, ladies and gentlemen, it's party time. In 4 states gas has fallen below $2.00 per gallon. On Wall Street, the overwhelming consensus is $50 oil before $65.

But, is that a good thing?

When gas was $2.00 US automakers laughed at the Toyota Prius. Today, the Prius has already sold more than 1,000,000 Prius hybrid cars, yet there won't be one US made Prius-contender on the road until late 2010 with the Chevy Volt. Moreover, GM probably won't be selling the 100,000 Volts per year until at least 2014.

Fortunately, if gas prices remain low, America's gas-guzzling will decline thanks to CAFE, but CAFE regulations won't be strong enough to end foreign oil dependency. Unfortunately, as history as proven, US automakers will simply do as much as needed to achieve CAFE, and when foreign oil dependency again rears its ugly head, America will again be unprepared.

Thus, a bailout must include strings.

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Monday, November 10, 2008

Bailout BS: Fixing the US auto sector in 3 easy steps

Three easy steps to fix the US auto industry: Bailout automakers to survive another 3 years, unlimited tax credits for hybrid cars,EVs, etc, and create a gas tax.Tough love for Big 3 includes giving the Prius some credit

I've had enough automaker bailout talk. Let's be frank, US automakers deserve bankruptcy. Yes, in the last few years, automakers have made many important changes, but a few years doesn't rectify decades of bad decisions and unreliable automobiles. Of course, most US auto consumers need to have their gas-guzzlers repossessed as well.

Yet, what good would this destruction create? 10,000 new Tesla employees? Less foreign oil dependency? The end of CO2 emissions from autos?

No. So, here's what Congress should do in 3 simple steps. 1.) Bailout US automakers enough so that they can survive another 3 years. 2.) Add unlimited consumer tax credits through 2015 for hybrid vehicles, EVs, natural gas cars, and any vehicle that can achieve at least 35 mpg on the EPA's city - NOT HIGHWAY -cycle, and 3.) Create a scalable gas tax immediately. This puts a bottom on oil prices, funds the tax credits, and sends a message - more transparent than Congressional regulation - to automakers that gas-guzzling is dead.

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Thursday, November 06, 2008

Canada afraid Obama serious about ending foreign oil dependency?

Oh so green, Canada?

For years the US has been the big anti-environmentalist bully on the block, choosing to ignore Kyoto, for instance, to protect our economy. With President Elect Barack Obama preparing to take over the White House, some of our critics are now worried we might fight foreign oil dependency and global warming a little to quickly.

Canada, one of our drug dealers - I mean oil suppliers - is afraid that an Obama Presidency could hurt Canada's oil sands projects - and the Canadian economy. Isn't that ironic?

Source: GlobeandMail

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Wednesday, November 05, 2008

Don't buy a hybrid! Share a hybrid

Hybrid car sharing

WeCar, is the new car sharing division of Enterprise. It doesn't reinvent car sharing, although it does use only hybrid cars in its fleet, which is pretty cool. Still, this whole car sharing thing really has me intrigued.

Foreign oil dependency. Global warming. High fuel prices. Financial crisis. Are more expensive hybrid cars and electric vehicles really the answer? Instead of just replacing our 13 million per year fleet of vehicles, why not less vehicles? Isn't it gluttonous consumerism, not just gas-guzzlers, that is really strangling America?

Bikes, scooters, tiny one-person microcars, and public transportation might not offer much bling for consumers, but for daily commuting, such forms of transportation are far more efficient, cost effective and environmentally friendly than a plug-in Prius or a Chevy Volt. And all of these approaches can be supplemented with car sharing.

Instead of buying a Volt, might not the future be a better time to share a Volt?

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Monday, November 03, 2008

Can Democrats clean and green the US auto industry?

America's freedom fighter?

On the NYSE floor, an Obama win has already been priced into stocks, and there is a belief that an Obama win, coupled with a filibuster-proof Democratic majority in Congress, will lead to 'new deal' style projects and bailouts, such as the one needed for the US auto industry.

Can politicians cost-effectively manage both a successful bailout of the US auto industry, while increasing fuel economy and reducing emissions?

More important, if Congress is going to invest many billions more of tax payer money into the US auto industry, shouldn't fuel economy requirements be even more stringent than new CAFE regulations? For instance, shouldn't a massive bailout plan be structured around a real world plan to end foreign oil dependency by, say, 2025?

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Monday, October 27, 2008

UK - Cost, not environment, drives consumers

Global warming not enough for most consumers

US studies have indicated that a significant percent of Americans are worried about global warming, foreign oil dependency, or both. Unfortunately, despite this worry, the majority of those concerned about these issues are only willing to buy a car that helps fight these problems if it makes obvious financial sense.

Well, auto consumers in the UK aren't much different.

Covering the study, GCC notes, "While 20% of Britons are now saying they look at CO2 levels when buying a new car, the survey found that 75% of motorists would purchase a lower-emissions car only if it saved them money. Almost two-thirds of people surveyed (61%) believe that cost is the most important consideration when others buy a more environmentally friendly car."

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Friday, October 24, 2008

OPEC cuts fail to stop oil crash

The crash before the storm?

Despite a significant cut in oil production by OPEC, oil prices are down more than $3.00 today as I write this post. Likewise, gas inventories have grown and cheaper gas is inevitable. 

Ironically, for now, this price decline might not mean much to consumers whom are fearful of a deeper recession. Thus, a rush back to guzzlers is probably unlikely. Likewise, automakers have made at least a partial commitment to reduce the size of their SUV and truck fleets. So, it seems, we'll never fully go back to our gas-guzzling ways.

Hence, in 2020, will America still be just as dependent on OPEC, or almost free of OPEC dependency? 

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Monday, October 20, 2008

Foreign oil dependency: It's in the government's hands

Converting a Prius to a plug-in Prius

A lot of Toyota Prius drivers, as well as the owners of other hybrid cars, can't wait to be able to plug-in their hybrids. Plugging in significantly increases fuel economy and, therefore, significantly reduces both carbon and foreign oil footprints.

Sadly, however, all hybrid drivers combined make up a minuscule percentage of American drivers. Converting all of these drivers into plug-in hybrid drivers would have very little overall effect on either global warming or foreign oil dependency.

Many more need to be converted into hybrid vehicles and other fuel efficient technologies. FINISH: Foreign oil dependency - It's in the government's hands

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Thursday, October 16, 2008

Chrysler CEO warns of battery dependence

The battery-powered EcoVoyager

Chrsyler CEO, Bob Nardelli, told CNBC TV this evening that "great synergies" existed for automotive industry consolidation because of the financial environment, but he would not discuss a possible merger with GM.

Nardelli also claimed that new CAFE standards had created a "tremendous financial burden" on the automaker, and that it was important that America didn't turn foreign oil dependence into dependence on foreign batteries.

While I'd rather be dependent on foreign batteries than foreign oil any day of the week, if Detroit had taken some leadership on hybrid cars, this would be a non-issue.

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Monday, October 13, 2008

How much lower can gas prices go?

A Saudi Arabian oil refinery

On Friday I was shocked to hear that world-wide oil demand is down to its lowest levels in 15 years. Thus, OPEC is considering production cuts to stop falling oil prices. Yet, if the now world-wide recession sticks, can oil prices go anywhere but down until an economic recovery occurs?

In the last month the price of gas has dropped $.32 cents to $3.35. A year ago the price was $2.76. How soon, if ever, will that price be breached?

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Wednesday, October 08, 2008

New tax credits for Non-plug-in hybrids needed?

Tax credits helped drive the Prius

There is no doubt that tax credits for hybrid cars, especially the Toyota Prius, helped sell these vehicles. But, are new tax credits needed to keep moving these vehicles?

Probably not, considering that most hybrid dealers have been adding massive dealer markups to these vehicles. Of course, if the economy keeps tanking all car sales will suffer.

Still, what about a tax credit for non-plug-in hybrids that rewards significantly higher fuel economy - say for hybrids that achieve at least 60 or 70 mpg combined fuel economy? Or, at least a tax credit for plug-in conversions?

If Congress truly wants to end foreign oil dependency, isn't a more aggressive, comprehensive incentive program required?

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Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Can OPEC affect US politics, automotive future?

Dirty politics?

OPEC is meeting today and there are many that are assuming that OPEC isn't going to do anything drastic, at least not yet. However, because of slim margins in world oil supply and refining capacity, OPEC - many analysts believe - can cut production and keep oil prices above $100 per barrel. Nonetheless, those same analysts believe the sweet range for OPEC is between $80 and $100. This keeps profits high for OPEC, and it reduces gasoline prices a bit in the US.

These analysts believe that OPEC is trying to help trend oil prices lower because high gas prices make alternative fuels and alternative technologies, such as hybrid cars and EVs, far more cost effective, which is a threat to OPEC.

Is OPEC powerful enough to stunt alternative technologies in the US, and are Americans foolish enough to fall for such a stunt?

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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Hybrid rationale: Oil-rich Arabs to buy Hummer?

Where gas guzzling is free

Since, according to Boone Pickens, the famous oil man, America's foreign oil dependency has led to one of the greatest transfers of wealth in world history, a few Gulf Arabs are interested in buying the most iconic gas-guzzling brand, Hummer. Ohhh, the irony.

And yet people that drive hybrid cars are the foolish ones, but sending the Gulf all our money and subsidizing their gas at our expense isn't a problem?

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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

How many billions to bail out US auto industry?

A Hemi-powered hybrid

In recent weeks a lot of the mainstream auto press has come to the defense of the US auto industry claiming that no one foresaw $4.00 gas. No one except those with their eyes open.

Let's just be honest. The US auto industry built their entire business model around trucks and SUVs, period. For a plethora of reasons, US automakers wouldn't even try to compete with companies like Honda for the small vehicle segment, for fuel efficiency, even despite events like 9/11, Katrina, etc. which seemed to demonstrate quite clearly that oil dependence was leading to ever greater problems. Instead, US automakers blindly kept all their eggs in one very inefficient, but profitable basket.

Now that basket is broke and the eggs are cracked.

So, it will be up to Congress, with the help of US taxpayer money, to bail out the US auto industry, at least that's the hope of a non-partisan Michigan delegation, according to the DetroitNews. Billions in loans. Billions in tax breaks. Billions to retire old gas guzzlers. Almost a billion for a battery fund. Billions and billions to cover the costs of ignorance and denial.

Nothing like good old American free market lobbyism, I mean capitalism.

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Thursday, July 03, 2008

July 4th: Ready to celebrate our foreign oil dependence?

Let's celebrate Independence with dependence!

As I read Manny Lopez's article 'Made in America' often is foreign this morning, I was reminded of the 'Celebrate Foreign Oil Dependence Day' that this site promoted last year. As we prepare to celebrate our independence this 4th of July, I cannot help but ask, how independent are we really? Hopefully, this fourth of July reminds us of why independence is important and inspires us to revolt against our foreign oil dependence.

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Tuesday, July 01, 2008

Why buy a hybrid vehicle?

Umm. Do you really need to ask?

That's a question I hear regularly. This morning a man asked this question and then provided a list of small vehicles sold outside the US that achieve better fuel economy than the Toyota Prius. Yes, most were smaller-than-the-Prius diesels, and they outperformed the Prius primarily in highway fuel economy.

So, why buy hybrid vehicles?

I say forget that a diesel vehicle could be a hybrid vehicle. Forget that even clean diesel is still dirty. Forget that it takes more oil to make diesel than gasoline, thereby offsetting much of diesel vehicle efficiency, at least for those concerned about oil dependency, especially foreign oil dependency.

I advocate for hybrid vehicles because neither diesel, nor gasoline, will ever end US foreign oil dependency. On the other hand, hybrid cars are all about batteries, and battery R&D will lead to 100 mpg hybrids, well over 100 mpg plug-in hybrids and full electric vehicles.

I mean, really, don't pollution, global warming and foreign oil dependency provide enough reasons to support hybrid cars?

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Monday, June 30, 2008

The problem with US automakers

The poster child of denial?

As I've browsed through the news today, one headline stuck out: When pickup sales dived, automakers changed plans. The article explains how Ford (and GM) realized, way back in May, that small cars and fuel efficiency might be the keys to survival.

May, 2008? Hello? 9/11, War, Katrina, and you didn't believe the dangers of foreign oil dependency might force change until May, 2008?

A few months ago, a source inside GM told me that $3.00+ gas prices had been forecasted as a possibility by GM years earlier. Coupled with Toyota' hybrid success, this forecast moved GM to begin working on the Chevy Volt. That and Bob Lutz couldn't tolerate a company like Tesla beating GM to cost-effective electric vehicles. Of course, that didn't make large vehicles any less important.

The fact that it has been largely impossible for US automakers to steer away from such a heavy focus on large, fuel-inefficient vehicles - despite the obvious evidence - begs the question: What is wrong with US automakers? Certainly, cheap gas, the UAW, healthcare costs, etc. didn't make the job of change any easier, however, can these issues really justify such denial?

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Thursday, June 26, 2008

Oil tops $140, $7 gas by 2010?

Oil futures torching the economy

Oil futures topped $140 per barrel today for the first time ever. And as if the news couldn't get worse, a new CIBC study suggests that oil will hit $200 per barrel by 2010, equating to $7.00 per gallon gas.

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Americans disappointed in US energy policy

Time for an energy revolution

Americans blame the federal government, foreign oil companies, Congress and Middle East tensions for the lack of a quality energy policy in the US according to a new survey reported on BehindtheWheel. Of course, we should probably be blaming ourselves a bit for thinking there would never be any consequences for guzzling foreign oil as if it was free.

While both Presidential candidates have announced plans to tackle this problem, can either really be expected to succeed without some serious changes in Congress?

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Wednesday, June 25, 2008

Warren Buffett talks oil

Forget windfall taxes

Warren Buffet, an open advocate for Barrack Obama, is on CNBC as I write this post. Thus far, he has stated that today's oil prices are driven by supply and demand, not speculation. He said for everyone speculating that oil prices will go higher, another is speculating that they will go lower. Additionally, he called windfall profit taxes on oil companies a very bad idea. He claimed if you tax oil companies for windfall profits, then you should tax corn, copper and steel producers, for example, for windfall profits as well.

On a final, unrelated note, Buffett claimed the tax code needs to be reworked and that the super rich need to be taxed far more and everyone else, far less.

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Monday, June 23, 2008

McCain offers prize to fight foreign oil dependency

$300 million for a new battery

If President, John McCain would like to create a $300 million prize for a battery that is at least 30 percent cheaper than today's and has "the size, capacity, cost and power to leapfrog the commercially available plug-in hybrids or electric cars." Likewise, he would give automakers a tax credit of $5000 for every zero emission vehicle.

I'm glad to see McCain focus some attention on this issue, but what about consumer incentives? Apparently, today's hybrid cars are worthless to McCain, so I guess McCain will just drill until the perfect solution is achieved?

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Thursday, June 19, 2008

Bumper stickers a sign of insanity?

But don't take away my guzzler

During the build up to the latest war in Iraq, there were protesters near my office every Friday. And, as I would watch some of these protesters arrive, I was shocked at how many drove SUVs, BMWs and other not-so-efficient vehicles with 'no blood for oil' bumper stickers. I could never understand how someone could say no blood for oil, but drive a gas-guzzler. Now I understand.

According to new research cited by Edmunds, those with bumper stickers on their cars are more likely to engage in road rage. So, I guess those hypocritical protesters couldn't help it, they were just crazy?

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Wednesday, June 18, 2008

What if we drilled offshore 20 years ago?

Katrina nailed rigs, but they didn't spill

What if America had drilled offshore for the last few decades, would America be as dependent on foreign oil as today? I have no idea, but I'd bet that we'd be in the same situation. Nonetheless, there are many Americans - probably not a majority - whom believe that greens are to blame for not allowing any drilling. And, what, other than foreign oil, has replaced this lack of drilling? Thus, when greens talk about global warming, these constituents do not trust them.

So, why not open up some drilling, on the condition that there is guaranteed money for other alternative energy products? While Democrats keep claiming we can't drill our way out of foreign oil dependency, you can't do nothing and end foreign oil dependency either. The job of Congress is to create consensus-driven legislation, not to just blame the other side and never accomplish anything.

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Friday, June 13, 2008

Plug-in hybrids: The key to both biofuels and the grid?

Should plug-ins be an integral part of energy policy?

Blackouts. Every summer, at least once, I come home to a defrosted freezer thanks to a blackout. But, what if a number of Americans drove plug-in hybrids? On days when electric loads were getting too high, the grid could tap into numerous plug-in batteries and avert a blackout, and give me a fat paycheck - helping to offset the costs of my battery. Smart legislation could make that happen.

Likewise, the world now knows that ethanol is not going to end foreign oil dependency, but cellulosic ethanol and other biofuels still have potential, but limited potential. However, a bio-fueled plug-in hybrid would need very little liquid fuel on a day-to-day basis. Thus, smarter biofuels coupled with plug-in hybrid technology could be perfectly complimentary.

Plug-in hybrids can help radically change America's energy paradigm, but such a task will require a new, comprehensive energy policy. Sure it might be expensive, but isn't national security and a technologically-advanced economy worth the costs? Isn't it time to DEMAND this from our well-financed politicians?

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Enough? DOE gives $30 million for PHEV projects

Time to get real about energy

The US Energy Department has given the Big 3 $30 million dollars to help fund some plug-in hybrid vehicle projects. The Big 3 had sought $500 million (more).

Wow, the US spends billions every year just on the coast guard and military costs of securing oil tanker lanes - a sum not paid at the pump, but rather through hidden taxes. Yet, the government can only spend $30 million on the technology that has the potential to end foreign oil dependency altogether?

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Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Foreign oil: $40+ billion fricken dollars per month

Foreign oil profits to buy Chrysler building

$40+ billion per month. That's the cost of foreign oil dependency. Sadly, that doesn't even include the billions per year that the US spends on Coast Guard and military costs to secure shipping lanes for oil tankers. Then, add in war costs, and the amount of money being 'exported' to major oil exporters isn't just alarming, it's disgusting.

Congress can talk about exporting jobs, outsourcing, etc., but imagine what Congress could accomplish by funding a revolution against energy dependence. I don't just mean tax credits for hybrid cars, I mean what if the US had invested that kind of money into solar power, wind power, smarter biofuels, etc - talk about jobs and exportable technology! Unfortunately, Congress - both Democrats and Republicans - have just been too busy eating lobbyist-funded pork.

We, the people, have allowed and enabled politicians to sell out America in the name of militarily-secured, cheap foreign oil. Has it been worth it? Are we going to do anything about it?

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Friday, June 06, 2008

Fear pushing oil higher?

What happens to oil if Israel attacks Iran?

As I write this, oil has just shot up to almost $139 per barrel, based upon almost no new news, except for the latest sabre-rattling between Israel and Iran. Many are calling this latest run up in prices pure speculation. Maybe, but if Israel and Iran start fighting, it is easy to imagine much higher oil prices.

I can see it now, a $10,000 Prius dealer markup.

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Friday, May 30, 2008

Oil glut 2011: A real hybrid killa?

Hybrid demand: Oil giveth, oil taketh away?

Just finished watching some great CNBC coverage on oil and it really made me hone in on two thoughts. First, oil traders have not factored the possibility of hurricanes into the current price of oil. So, if a hurricane hits the Gulf, expect jumps in gas prices. If a hurricane hits hard, plan on moth-balling your car for a few months. Second, most oil experts believe that an oil glut is inevitable once oil companies begin converting dirtier oil resources into refined product, though many predict such a glut is still 2 to 3 years away. Ironically, that potential oil glut could coincide quite nicely with the first generation of plug-in hybrid vehicles.

Will a $40,000 Chevy Volt, for example, still resonate with consumers if oil takes a big hit and gas prices suddenly drop significantly?

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Thursday, May 22, 2008

Kaizen: America's oil crisis

Crisis is simply an opportunity for innovation

Tonight CNBC will host a segment, America's Oil Crisis, a name that I find a little funny. I don't see today's oil situation as a crisis, but rather an opportunity for change. America needs a real energy policy.

Ultimately, cheap oil has retarded American innovation. We've been fat, dumb and happy gas-guzzlers. Yet that cheap oil has only been possible because of diplomatic collusion with dictators and other repressive regimes. Likewise, while oil has been cheap, the US has never added the cost of military protection of oil to pump prices - we pay that cost in taxes and wars.

The other day a venture capitalist was on CNBC discussing the significant amount of capital that is pouring into energy efficient solutions, such as solar power, alternative fuels, transportation, etc. He noted, however, that a big drop in oil prices would significantly reduce this capital. Now that would be a real crisis.

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Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Oil: Democrats are morons

Of course, Republicans aren't any better

Led by Democrats, today a Judiciary Committee is going after oil companies and traders to reduce the price of gasoline. At the same time, many of these same Democrats are calling for the US to get off foreign oil. So, their plan is to 'manage' the price of gasoline lower to reduce foreign oil dependency?

High gas prices are changing consumer behavior in a big way. We're going smaller. We're taking public transportation. We're buying hybrid cars and other more fuel efficient automobiles - something Congress has never been able to accomplish, despite spending billions of tax payer dollars for this purpose. Even more important, massive amounts of capital are flowing into R&D for foreign oil dependency-fighting technologies.

Nothing will get America off foreign oil faster than high prices and new technologies. Ultimately, high gas prices, not Congress, are pushing America towards intelligent behavior. Yes it hurts, but in the long run, we'll be better off, unless Congress again screws it up.

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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Can disincentives get the US off oil?

It's the auto, stupid

I'm a fan of the gas tax as a way to move America off oil, an idea which would push most Americans to call me crazy. Of course, I think most Americans are crazy for not taking foreign oil dependency - and their individual role in that dependency - far more seriously.

But, if a gas tax were utilized intelligently, which is a bit of an impossibility in today's Congress and political world, couldn't it be used to create effective change?

Finish: Can disincentives get the US off oil?

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Tuesday, May 13, 2008

$6.00 gas: Bring it on

As if there are no costs to cheap gas

I just finished reading an article about gasoline protesters - people protesting the 'high' cost of gasoline. Some of these knuckleheads believe that protesting the high cost of gasoline can also raise awareness about environmental issues, as if cheap gas is good for the environment. Wow.

Today, Americans are funding a Hugo Chavez-led revolution in Columbia, for example, that seeks to fight against any American interests. Our thirst for cheap gas has funded hate against America around the world, and yet foreign oil dependency has no costs, despite the 10's of billions we spend every year on non-war costs just to secure foreign oil (Maybe we should pay that cost at the pump?)?

High gas prices are pushing solar power, biofuels, sales of hybrid cars and, even more important, R&D into new technologies that might forever end oil dependence in a cheap, clean and cost-effective way. High gas prices are breeding innovation. A return to cheap gas - ok, cheaper gas - will only lead to technological stagnation and greater pain in the future.

$6.00 gas. Bring it on.

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Monday, May 05, 2008

America and its loser Presidential candidates

A pathetic panderer?

OK, so both John McCain and Hillary Clinton want a gas tax holiday for this summer that essentially every economist calls STUPID. Now, Hillary, however, is going to make oil companies pay the gas tax to differentiate herself from John McCain.

First, how is Congress going to enact such a plan? It would take all summer and probably lead to endless litigation, but who cares about reality? Second, even if Congress enacted such a plan, lower gas prices still mean greater foreign oil dependency, which ultimately means higher gas prices. Just the other day, Bill Clinton's Secretary of Labor, Rob Reich, called Hillary's plan the "worst kind of pandering". And yet Americans are starting to buy Hillary's pathetic pandering because it might save them $20 over the summer. How stupid are we America?

While I wish I could jump on Obama's band wagon, how can Barrack criticize Detroit for SUVs when he's been an SUV driver for many years?

Hypocrisy or pandering - pick your President. Any good write-in candidates out there?

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Friday, April 25, 2008

Foreign oil: Democrats just as pathetic

No leadership in Congress

It's easy for many to find too comfy of a relationship between Republicans and Big Oil. Nancy Pelosi and Democrats, however, continue to be just as disappointing. Leading Democrats want to start a witchhunt into high pump prices - as if $120 barrels of oil don't say enough. Pandering, pandering pathetic Democrats. Maybe Nancy should call up John McCain to see if they can work out a bi-partisan 'gas is free for the summer' campaign.

Thanks to high gas prices, consumer behavior is changing - something Congress has failed to do for decades. Congress should be focusing on what else can be done to reduce foreign oil dependency, not what else they can do to lower fuel prices and INCREASE dependency.

Will we ever have elected officials that can handle the truth, or are pandering, pork-loving liars forever inevitable?

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Monday, April 14, 2008

Why is gas so cheap in America?

Is $4.00 gas really expensive?

On Friday, regarding a question on fuel economy and CAFE, Bob Lutz stated, "Nobody knows how to get to 35 mpg with a portfolio of vehicles roughly equivalent to today's without loading in $6,000 to $8,000 of hybrid systems. We are not sure we can 'save' large vehicles."

Yet, if gas cost $6.00 or more per gallon, such as in Europe, $6000.00 worth of hybrid technology could easily be recovered in fuel savings. Then again, at $6.00 per gallon, how many would even want such large vehicles?

While Congress can blame automakers for not building 'relevant' vehicles and oil companies for making ridiculous profits, there is a more important question that must be asked of Congress.

Why is gas so cheap in America if it takes so much American diplomacy, military force - and blood - to secure America's foreign oil dependency? That's all free? And if gas hadn't been so cheap, overall, the last few decades, would America be so foreign oil dependent?

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Friday, April 11, 2008

What's your F-OIL Footprint?

The unnecessary costs of foreign oil dependency?

I was watching a show on CNBC this morning that cited a poll that found that 80 percent of Americans think of themselves as green-minded. Holy cow have Americans become completely delusional?

Well, since Americans are now so green, I guess we don't have to worry about carbon-footprints anymore, right (hah!).

Anyway, why don't Americans talk about their foreign oil footprints as proudly as their carbon footprints? Can't we handle the truth?

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Tuesday, April 01, 2008

Thanks oil execs! Guzzler sales slammed by high gas prices

Hummer sales down almost 30 percent

Updated at 12:59


While all automakers took a big hit in sales in March - with many seeing double digit declines - gas-guzzling vehicles, such as the Ford F-Series, the Ford Mustang and GM's Hummer, took serious sale's hits. Overall, all light trucks saw much bigger sale's declines than cars.

On the other hand, Toyota's March hybrid sales were up 19 percent compared to last year, led by the Toyota Prius and the Camry hybrid. In total, Toyota sold 31,552 hybrid vehicles in March.

Perhaps, instead of grilling oil executives about the high price of gasoline, Congress should be thanking oil execs. for doing their dirty work. Finally, whether they like or not, Americans are being forced to act more responsibly regarding their fuel consumption.

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Blah, blah? Congress grills oil execs. over profits

A Saudi oil refinery - one of America's most important

Today, members of Congress are defending the American populace by questioning oil executives about high gasoline prices. I'm sorry, but, whatever.

This year America is going to spend about $500 billion purchasing foreign oil. That doesn't even count the military and coast guard costs of securing and transporting that oil back to the US - a number that would easily surpass the $18 billion in oil tax breaks that some in Congress are seeking to collect.

Perhaps if Congress, and every President over the last few decades, hadn't colluded with the Pentagon to subsidize the real cost of foreign oil dependency, there wouldn't be a need for such a conversation. In fact, instead of grilling oil executives, someone should be grilling Congress about why they've been lying and deceiving the American people about the real costs of foreign oil dependency for so long.

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Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Chinese fuel shortages: The need for hybrid tax credits?

Give the Prius some credits

For some in China today, there isn't any gas or any diesel. Maybe tomorrow, maybe not. If any fuel does come, it will quickly be guzzled away. China, inevitably, must find more foreign oil - a LOT more.

Hence, even if America becomes a little more fuel efficient in the next few years, increased consumption from China will easily replace our demand.

The need to go hybrid

Yesterday, I posted studies demonstrating America's increasing demand for fuel efficiency, and the desire for more fuel efficient automobiles. Yet, other studies indicate that while American consumers definitely want more efficient vehicles, they don't want to pay any extra costs for such autos - even if those costs are more than recovered during the life of the vehicle.

Thus, isn't it time for some temporary government intervention? Finish: Chinese Fuel Shortages: The need for hybrid tax credits

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Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Lutz: Volt is the future. His global warming beliefs "immaterial"

Lutz's beliefs on global warming are "immaterial"

CNBC interviewed Bob Lutz this morning at the New York Auto Show, and his statements on global warming were a focal point.

Lutz claimed his statements were taken out of context, and that his beliefs regarding global warming are similar to many astrophysicists that hypothesize that solar radiation could be a big part of today's global warming. Nonetheless, Lutz claimed his beliefs about global warming are "immaterial".

According to Lutz, the only future for GM is take the automobile out of the global warming and foreign oil dependency equation, and the only way to do that is with vehicles like the Chevy Volt.

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Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Has foreign oil dependency finally caught up to America?

Time for an intervention?

With the economy tanking and the fed making some big rate cuts, the dollar is set to decline even further, which means oil prices are going to skyrocket even higher according to conventional thinking on Wall Street.

Likewise, we're going to spend more than a trillion in Iraq to protect our $1/2 trillion per year addiction to foreign oil. Whom, but a crackhead, could rationalize the costs of that kind of dependency? America is just one successful major oil refinery attack from $10.00 gas.

So, enjoy your $3.50 crack, America! It probably won't get much cheaper.

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Monday, March 10, 2008

Water and electricity: Plug-in hybrids are doomed?

PHEVs could guzzle water, electricity?

Did you hear the one about plug-in hybrid vehicles? Turns out they are just a big joke. Wanna know why? Because replacing America's fleet of gas hogs with electric vehicles will require intelligent planning by the government.

Seriously, plug-in hybrid vehicles do have issues, such as the recent Texas study that suggests careful planning is required for plug-in hybrids so that water resources aren't depleted. Then there's the little problem of the US electric grid falling apart, and plug-in vehicle cost. Ultimately, electrifying the automobile with a sensible grid will require a lot of planning and, more important, many billions of dollars.

Then again, when you consider that the US is now spending $12 billion a month in Iraq to enable our $1/2 trillion per year foreign oil dependence, planning and paying for the electrification of the automobile seems pretty simple and cost-effective.

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Gas prices up 64 cents compared to last year

Up 9 cents from 2 weeks ago

The average price of a regular gallon of gasoline is $3.19 per gallon according to a new survey. No worries though, Iraq is costing just $12 billion per month! Of course that's nothing compared to the cost of foreign oil itself. In 2008, the US is expected to spend $440 billion on imported oil.

Foreign oil dependency rules!

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Friday, March 07, 2008

Is global warming killing hybrid cars?

Global warming can't make hybrids mainstream?

Turns out hybrid vehicles aren't very profitable, especially in the short term. Thus, although Mercedes is moving ahead with its hybrid program, the automaker is doing so cautiously (more).

That's probably because consumer research continually demonstrates that while consumers are interested in better fuel economy, they are not interested in paying more for it. For example, a new study shows that only 11 % of new car buyers are willing to pay extra money for green vehicles.

What about foreign oil dependency? Why are hybrid vehicles sold and marketed largely as environmental vehicles, rather than foreign oil dependency fighting vehicles? Imagine the PR campaigns that could be created around freedom-fighters. Besides if America ended foreign oil dependency, such an act would put a huge dent in our global warming emissions.

Isn't it time to unite the people? Isn't it time to sell hybrids in a way that justifies their cost and investment in the future in a way that a majority of consumers can relate?

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Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Fuel economy and SUV safety

Is safety really an excuse?

Many women, I've been told by several auto industry-related women, buy large SUVs because they feel safe - it's some kind of motherly instinct they claim. But are SUVs really safe?

Why is it that improvements in SUV safety seem to find their way into the news a few times per year if SUVs are so safe in the first place? Is the foreign oil dependency that large SUVs create safe for US soldiers fighting an oil war in Iraq? Was it safe for the victims of 9/11 - an attack partially funded by foreign oil profits?

There are some out there that do need a large SUV, such as the GMC Yukon hybrid pictured above, but not nearly as many as drive such vehicles. Thus, does safety legitimately justify SUV need? I don't think so.

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Tuesday, February 26, 2008

How much car do you really need? Part 1

Do you really need it, or do you just want it?

"Thus my point isn't that people shouldn't be allowed to buy whatever vehicle they want," states Karl on Cars this morning. "My point is that you should be honest about your lifestyle and fully recognize when you really need a large, utilitarian vehicle and when you simply want one. For example, do I need a Ford GT? Nobody needs a Ford GT! However, I'm fully ready to admit I simply wanted one, functionality and earth-saving desires be damned. I'm not sure how many SUV drivers really need one, but I fear many of these folks aren't ready to admit they simply want one.

And at this point I have to add what really kills me is when these same folks, sitting in the cabin of their 6,000-pound SUVs/Crossovers/full-size trucks that they don't really need, claim to be earth conscious and/or scream "No blood for oil!" or "We need to stop being held hostage by our energy policies that subjugate us to Middle East countries."

Whatever folks."

Click here to read the Karl's full story

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Monday, February 25, 2008

Letter to NADA from Washington Post: Gas tax now

The good ole gas lines of the '70s!

"The new CAFE bill has the same flaw as the old CAFE bill," writes the Washington Post's Warren Brown this weekend in an open letter to Annette Sykora, Chairwoman of the National Auto Dealer's Association. "It does not ask consumers to do one thing, pay one thing, give up one thing or participate in any meaningful way in fuel conservation.

Later, Brown states, "the old CAFE bill did absolutely nothing to reduce the nation's overall consumption of gasoline and other oil-derived fuels. Gasoline consumption, in fact, has skyrocketed in America since the first CAFE law went into effect in 1975. Increased technical fuel efficiency plus cheap gasoline equals increased consumer demand for all that gasoline provides and supports and, thus, increased gasoline consumption."

Hence, "If Americans won't pay more for burning all of the oil-based fuels they use willy-nilly, perhaps they will be willing to support a military draft to send more of their children to the Middle East to fight and die for it.........Either way, we are going to pay. It's just a question of how much and when."

I'll second that.

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Friday, February 22, 2008

Too much caffeine in CAFE?

CAFE: More jittery buzz than anything?

When Congress was working out the final details of CAFE, I was a perpetual cynic. First, if America were hitting the 2020 standards outlined in CAFE today, America would still be dependent on foreign oil. Second, there are still too many loopholes for flex-fuel credits and for light trucks. Third, the antiquated way of measuring CAFE means 35 mpg is really like 26.5 mpg. Thus, CAFE might make autos a bit more fuel efficient, but not enough to really accomplish anything very significant.

Even worse, if CAFE legislation adds a few thousand dollars to the cost of large SUVs, for example, many in the auto industry believe this will only serve to keep older SUVs on the road far longer - making CAFE even less effective, especially in the short term. And new data by Polk, showing that Americans are keeping their cars longer, seems to lend credit to this thread of thought.

CAFE hasn't achieved much in the past, and it probably won't achieve much in the future. Why can't Americans handle the truth? Why does gas cost $8.00 in Europe, but just $3.50 in America?

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Wednesday, February 20, 2008

Is the green movement a zealot-driven jihad?

Green critic John McCormick claims the green movement has turned into a jihad

"If reducing CO2 output is the name of the game -- and let's remember that no-one has proved that man-made CO2 has anything to do with the earth's natural warming trend ....," John McCormick states as he attacks the green movement's jihad against fuel inefficiency in today's DetroitNews.

Perhaps nature is solely responsible for global warming, an unlikely possibility. So what? Does that make foreign oil dependency any less of a threat to national security? Read more....

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Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Audi A3 1.9TDIe: Who needs a Prius asks Angus?

A Prius killer?

Angus of MotorTrend has been driving an Audi A3 1.9TDIe for the last few days, a nice new diesel vehicle that is making Angus ask why anyone needs a Toyota Prius. Ultimately, according to Angus, the Audi is more fuel efficient than the Prius, except in extreme traffic, and the Audi performs better, so maybe there is no need for hybrid cars? Finish reading.....

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If hybrids are sanctimonious, then guzzlers are idiot-machines?

If Prius drivers are sanctimonious, what are gas-guzzler drivers?

Foreign oil dependency is the root of 9/11, the root of two Wars in Iraq, the root of tensions in the Middle East, a source of funding for those opposed to the US, etc. etc.

Yet, if you buy a hybrid, such as a Toyota Prius, you're sanctimonious?(more) Fine. So what do you call the people that keep buying gas-guzzling SUVs and sports cars - the people that willfully keep funding terrorists against the US, that keep funding Bin Laden, that keep funding tensions in the Middle East?

Traitors? Terrorists? Or just stupid?

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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Foreign oil dependency: America versus GM

An icon for GM haters

Earlier today I read an article about the 3 things that might kill the Chevy Volt, but I didn't really agree with any of them. Ultimately, I believe the Volt will happen, but I do think it might not be a cost-effective, mass-produced solution for decades.

Still, one of the three things that might kill the Volt is the shareholders of GM, and this thought has been bouncing around my head all morning.

Is a criticism of GM and its connection to foreign oil dependency and global warming, really a criticism of shareholders? If so, isn't a criticism of shareholders really a criticism of America herself? Thus, has the American dream turned into the world's nightmare - and all because of shareholder value?

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Saturday, February 09, 2008

Gas guzzling caused by our "reptilian brain"?

Irrational exuberance versus rationality

The article Green is in, but power won't go out states, "We may be going light and green in search of fuel economy, but we still need to drive. And Americans want to feel safe, empowered and secure on the road. The automobile remains a lust object -- though we approach it with a little more paranoia these days. No matter what we drive, researcher and industry consultant Clotaire Rapaille says our reptilian brain -- imagine the natural need a young mother has to protect a new child -- will always be engaged behind the wheel."

Sure a large vehicle might make consumers feel safer, but does foreign oil dependency make America safer? Does it make the economy stronger? Isn't it time the reptilian brains of American consumers evolve beyond such primal, instinctive egocentrism before we go the way of those other great reptiles, the dinosaurs?

Isn't it time for a revolution in our evolution as consumers?

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Friday, February 08, 2008

Dodge's Challenging hope for the future

Chrysler: Stuck in the past?

In the short term, cars like the Dodge Challenger are Chrysler's hope for the future, a future where "old is new again". More important, "the Challenger is emblematic of the company's wider strategy of appealing to multiple audiences with the same vehicle," Chrysler CEO Bob Nardelli recently told the DetroitNews.

Hmmm. Isn't it time to kill the old way of doing things? I'm sure that some nostalgic baby boomers might be longing for their poser-hippie, Woodstock, guzzle-gas-without-a-care-in-the -world years, but isn't it time to grow up already?

Hasn't the Challenger, and its cohorts, caused enough foreign oil dependency and pollution for dozens of generations, let alone one? Maybe the younger generations should have a sit-in, our own anti-war movement, against the baby boomer establishment.

"This will not stand, man, this aggression will not stand." - the dude

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Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Intel Director: Oil major threat to America

Foreign oil dependency rules!

According to the National Director of Intelligence oil is largely at the root of most of the major security threats to America, to America's freedom. So get out there and buy your gas-guzzlers, America, that's what freedom is all about, right? The freedom to destroy ourselves is the best freedom of all! So, guzzle, guzzle, guzzle America!

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Friday, February 01, 2008

40.6 billion reasons to vote against incumbents?

$40.6 billion in profit in one year

So, ExxonMobil profited $40.6 billion dollars this year. That's plenty of money to keep buying Congress, as oil companies have been doing for decades. But I don't care about $40.6 billion.

Despite the fact that the military-industrial complex that runs our government via cheap oil has created two wars in the Middle East, 9/11, massive pollution, etc., etc., not one mainstream politician is talking real change - accepting the real world costs of oil dependency, especially foreign oil dependency - let alone the environmental costs.

OUR government has failed us. Democrats have run Congress and the White House. Republicans have run Congress and the White House. Yet, little has ever changed. Time to vote against all incumbents?

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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Congress: Tax incentives for a 10 mpg Hummer, but not for a 50 mpg Prius?

Congress talks about hybrids, gives money to Hummers

Congressional contradictions? Hypocrites?

Fight foreign oil dependency and make gas cheaper? Demand more hybrid cars like the Toyota Prius and give small business tax incentives to buy 10 mpg gas-guzzlers, but not hybrids? Am I missing something? Read more......

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Monday, January 28, 2008

Automakers want to re-educate California on emissions

Auto companies ready to increase lobbying efforts in California

"Dave McCurdy, chief executive of the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, said in an interview that the industry's lead trade group would redouble efforts to "educate" states...... that a proposal by California to cut tailpipe emissions sharply to fight global warming could further depress the struggling U.S. industry."

What is more dangerous to America, the loss of a Ford, for example, or increased foreign oil dependency and global warming emissions?

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