The U.S. hybrid market in 10 years, 3% or 18%?
Many consumers and automotive analysts think hybrid cars make little sense, and see them as only being relevant to "environmentalists".
Analysts from J.D. Power and Associates have long forecast hybrid vehicles as a relatively inconsequential, interim technology along the path to fuel-cell vehicles. Anthony Pratt of Power has stated that hybrids will, at best, achieve just 3% of total U.S.light vehicle sales.
Considering the costs to create a new production line of hybrid vehicles, just 3% of the market would never recover hybrid development costs.
Of course, other analysts, such as Germany's B&D Forecast GmbH, see hybrid vehicles making up almost 20% of the U.S. market within 10 years.
Moreover, at the North American International Auto Show, Toyota announced that the hybrid powertrain was the powertrain of the future for Toyota.
How can this be, with fuel-cell powered cars just down the road?
A recent MotorTrend article by Frank Markus points out that mass-produced fuel-cell cars might still be 20 years or more from reality, but that "these fuel-cell vehicles will be hybrids, uniting hydrogen and air as a primary means of generating electricity, but relying on some sort of onboard energy storage device as a backup."
Later Markus notes, "It stands to reason that the company with the most experience tuning and integrating gas/electric hybrids may be in the best position to design and develop fuel-cell vehicles....."
This appears to be Toyota's thinking.
Therefore, just 3 percent of U.S. sales seems like an extremely low prediction for hybrid cars, especially if such technology can be slowly adapted and morphed into the first generation of fuel-cell cars.
While environmentalists can appreciate this vehicle, as can those whom feel wars in Iraq and problems in the Middle East are significantly due to America's dependence on foreign oil, the real reason hybrid vehicles will achieve far more than 3% of the U.S. market is technological.
Hybrid vehicles represent the best, functional, technology available for the mass market. In the next 5 years, hybrids will simply be superior to just gasoline or diesel powered vehicles.
More important, any significant development in either gasoline, diesel, or hydrogen engines can also be utilized in hybrids, while also paving the way to pollution-free fuel cells.
Help make a better future, check out a hybrid.
More on hybrid cars.
Join the Soultek Hybrid Car Club.
Analysts from J.D. Power and Associates have long forecast hybrid vehicles as a relatively inconsequential, interim technology along the path to fuel-cell vehicles. Anthony Pratt of Power has stated that hybrids will, at best, achieve just 3% of total U.S.light vehicle sales.
Considering the costs to create a new production line of hybrid vehicles, just 3% of the market would never recover hybrid development costs.
Of course, other analysts, such as Germany's B&D Forecast GmbH, see hybrid vehicles making up almost 20% of the U.S. market within 10 years.
Moreover, at the North American International Auto Show, Toyota announced that the hybrid powertrain was the powertrain of the future for Toyota.
How can this be, with fuel-cell powered cars just down the road?
A recent MotorTrend article by Frank Markus points out that mass-produced fuel-cell cars might still be 20 years or more from reality, but that "these fuel-cell vehicles will be hybrids, uniting hydrogen and air as a primary means of generating electricity, but relying on some sort of onboard energy storage device as a backup."
Later Markus notes, "It stands to reason that the company with the most experience tuning and integrating gas/electric hybrids may be in the best position to design and develop fuel-cell vehicles....."
This appears to be Toyota's thinking.
Therefore, just 3 percent of U.S. sales seems like an extremely low prediction for hybrid cars, especially if such technology can be slowly adapted and morphed into the first generation of fuel-cell cars.
While environmentalists can appreciate this vehicle, as can those whom feel wars in Iraq and problems in the Middle East are significantly due to America's dependence on foreign oil, the real reason hybrid vehicles will achieve far more than 3% of the U.S. market is technological.
Hybrid vehicles represent the best, functional, technology available for the mass market. In the next 5 years, hybrids will simply be superior to just gasoline or diesel powered vehicles.
More important, any significant development in either gasoline, diesel, or hydrogen engines can also be utilized in hybrids, while also paving the way to pollution-free fuel cells.
Help make a better future, check out a hybrid.
More on hybrid cars.
Join the Soultek Hybrid Car Club.
Labels: clean diesel, electric cars, fuel cells, Hybrid Vehicles, toyota
posted by Dahcredyns at
11:12 AM
1 Comments:
More people should learn about electric vehicles as a solution. "Zero emissions" is something that's going to be required by law one day (you know it will). Making the decision to go electric is far cheaper anyway, like 10 cents on the dollar vs. gas. (source: zapworld.com)
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